Remarkable to me how many of the people who thought we were for sure in a bubble then think we definitely aren't now.
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If the collapse had taken place earlier (2016/2017) there would have been more time for the economy to recover along with the valuation of these companies. Pretty sure he didn't predict a collapse.
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Did anyone take the bet?
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Same question here too "The loser donates $100,000 to a charity of the winner’s choice."
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Wow Prop 2 is impressive
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I think the problem in 2015 was all the “Uber for X” startups (food delivery etc.) So there was a bubble in that category, which has since popped.
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How does 3 satisfy the condition? Anything big except for Gitlab?
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Well done!!! The few times I have heard you speak it was apparent that you capture things differently... I also enjoy predicting the future and am really good at it! Mostly public markets disruptive tech/consumer but all of it. I can predict many macro phenomena if I spend time
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Ominous second last paragraph
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