As far as I can tell this is very much against everyone's priors, so we should update.https://twitter.com/nlpnyc/status/1258436733856776192 …
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I don't think that's how the law of large numbers works here, if the tests are the same? Doesn't matter how noisy individual results are, here. Especially since we expected the opposite result, not equality.
you're assuming they gave the same test to people. wish they would tell people what they actually did
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