Most places don’t have enough tests. Why don’t we mark anyone with scratchy throats, coughs, or who lost their sense of smell as “presumed positive”. Tell them to isolate and trace their contacts.https://twitter.com/normanswan/status/1250335579306209284 …
so, like, contact tracing is a way to make a small number of available tests go farther in predictive ability?
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Well you’ll have a lot of false positives, bc most contacts won’t have been infected, so I wouldn’t really put it that way? But right now the lockdown is similar to assuming everyone is infected, so the bar is pretty low right now, as I see it.
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if you go with scratchy throat, i and everyone i know would be quarantined from march to june and then from september through november.
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yes, and to target tests, and for pooled testing to decide the optimal pool size based on expected information gain, etc. Treat the whole thing as a wonderful & exciting data science problem. How can I persuade my government to hire me to do this?

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I think I’m going to call
@RepSpeier today and ask her to allocate a bunch of money in the new bill to pay contact tracing people. You could try contacting either the SF or MA teams. Seems like a long shot, but I imagine talking to them at all would be informative?
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