Let’s have a thread where we double crux about to what extent the US will succeed at suppressing the virus. I think I understand some of the gears here, but other stuff I am confused about. Overall, my model is weak and I want it to be better.
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One important question: What do we think the R0 is with SF-style shelter in place orders.
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Another one: Will US police (or military?) be able to use cell phone tracking to enforce quarantines. If so, at what scale?
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Is it practical to have real state borders? What about country borders?
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Replying to @diviacaroline
My intuition is that it’s super hard to *guard* borders but Americans are fairly obedient and will not try to cross state borders if forbidden to by state police.
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Obviously we know that Mexicans try to cross the Mexican-US border, but i’d want to know whether that has diminished during the pandemic; there are a lot fewer jobs for them now!
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