Thread about why I’m not personally motivated to try to figure out whether it’s worth it in terms of QALYs to keep everyone home. It’s not because I think you can’t trade off human life. We do that all the time, even though it’s socially fraught to look directly at it.
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Replying to @diviacaroline
yeah, me neither, for a slightly different reason: it seems *really* out of my hands. The people who decide whether we have quarantines are incredibly non-responsive to the types of persuasion available to me personally.
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Replying to @s_r_constantin
I think signing petitions and calling congress people has small but nonzero effect? And writing good essays with models that hold up can change the conversation in ways that can trickle up to decision makers. Seems very hard to quantify and I’m interested in models here.
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Replying to @diviacaroline
I think essays do ever influence policy. I'm actually trying to influence some stuff with my writing, but ideally at a lower and more technical level (medical standard-of-care & mobilization) than elected officials.
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Replying to @s_r_constantin @diviacaroline
Part of it is me-specific; I'd feel morally icky about writing up a policy proposal for something economic that was anywhere near the Overton window of American democracy. I think it's clear that policy wonks influence policy somewhat; it's not that nobody can; just not me.
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Replying to @s_r_constantin
Did you find the hammer and the dance icky? I liked it and also think it has had nonzero effect.
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Apparently icky enough that I straight-up didn't read it, despite seeing it linked over and over on social media. I don't consciously/explicitly disapprove! but my brain goes "nope! boring-futile! don't parse!" about anything too society-wide.
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