https://srconstantin.github.io/2020/03/16/COVID-19-young-people-risks.html … How dangerous is COVID-19 to people under 40? Review of the evidence.
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Replying to @s_r_constantin
Great article, but I don't understand where this line "In all three Chinese cities, this comes to a rate of 3% of cases in under-40 or under-45 patients being severe." comes from. Is it by pooling together the 3 datasets? I find 5% this way. 1/2
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Replying to @LeoGrint @s_r_constantin
Also with your data and your method("we assume the age distribution of severity is the same in Korea vs. China, but that the Korean rate of severe illness is the correct one"), I find a proba of severe case for a young person > 3%. Same magnitude but a significant difference. 2/2pic.twitter.com/8PPoEgB5Kb
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Replying to @LeoGrint
I’ll go back and check my math when I have a chance; thanks for being thorough!
2 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
ok, I was wrong and you were right; I now get the same numbers as you and have corrected the post. Thanks!
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