So, I was a bit wrong in my last post; upon looking at more studies it looks like non-invasive ventilation *does* reduce the risk of needing intubation.https://srconstantin.github.io/2020/03/20/non-invasive-ventilation.html …
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However 50% reduction in intubation rate has a lot of wiggle room to get worse before it’s “basically no benefit” relative to *nothing*. The point of comparison is “hospitals full, no treatment, die at home.”
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Clarification because tweets are short: 40% of *hospitalized* patients for COVID19 need ventilators. Most people who get infected get a mild flu-like illness or no symptoms, and recover fine.
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