Everyone talking about #makeventilators is missing the point.
Yes, we're going to run out. No, it won't be pretty. But we don't have labor capacity to care for that many more than we can ventilate.
We need O2 concentrators so that 2/3 of hospital cases can switch to home care.
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The world where home oxygen masks are still useful is one in which many patients a.) need oxygen, b.) will get *better* and not need hospitalization if they get oxygen; c.) will eventually need hospitalization if they get no early treatment.
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I still don’t know how common that scenario is. Ie how much better is oxygen treatment for mild pneumonia than no treatment?
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But that is only for the patients who *do* decline. She was clear that 1/3 of patients need just oxygen, 1/3 ventilators, 1/3 intubation, but she thinks the ventilators will largely go to intubation. 1/3 just oxygen is consistent with other sources too. That’s a lot we can save!
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The question is, in the 1/3 that only need oxygen, would they progress to needing hospitalization if they *didn’t* get oxygen?
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