Seems to me that kids choosing a major in school are doing so based on current events (t = 0) and the advice of elders (t = -10 to -20 years), when it should be based on long-term future opportunities (t = +10 to +20 years)
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Example: “In 1928, 17% of all
@HarvardBusiness graduates entered the investment business; in 1940 only 4.4% did” (B. Mark Smith, A History of Global Stock Markets, p. 141)2 replies 0 retweets 2 likesShow this thread -
Obviously we can't predict future opportunities decades out in much detail or with high confidence, but shouldn't we be trying harder? Are we basically placing the future in the hands of high school guidance counselors?
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If you wanted to reach the top ~10% of high school students in their junior and senior years in order to give them advice about how to manage their careers, how could you do it? Who or what has their attention, where a serious message would fit?
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Does, say, someone like
@pmarca have the clout to pull this off if he wanted to? Is anyone with good advice to give people age ~16–20 trying to do so?4 replies 0 retweets 8 likesShow this thread
Paul Graham’s “stay upwind” is actually good advice; since you don’t know what industry you’ll actually be in, learn the hard/fundamental stuff so you’ll have more options later. Eg err on the side of more math/physics.
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