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s_r_constantin's profile
Sarah Constantin
Sarah Constantin
Sarah Constantin
@s_r_constantin

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Sarah Constantin

@s_r_constantin

Math/ML/data-science person now working on solving aging...and helping with COVID19?! Founder, LRI and Daphnia Labs. Married to @oscredwin

Be
srconstantin.posthaven.com
Joined February 2019

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    1. Eliezer Yudkowsky‏Verified account @ESYudkowsky Jan 13
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      Eliezer Yudkowsky Retweeted Zack M. Davis

      Well, YES. Paying taxes to the organization that runs ICE, or voting for whichever politician runs against Trump, or trading with a doctor benefiting from an occupational licensing regime; these acts would all be great evils if you weren't trapped.https://twitter.com/zackmdavis/status/1206718983115698176 …

      Eliezer Yudkowsky added,

      Zack M. Davis @zackmdavis
      1940s war criminal defense: "I was only following orders!" 2020s war criminal defense: "I was only participating in a bad Nash equilibrium that no single actor can defy unilaterally!"
      6 replies 5 retweets 81 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Zack M. Davis‏ @zackmdavis Jan 13
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      Replying to @ESYudkowsky

      The question is, when are you legitimately trapped, and when have you been psy-oped into perceiving a trap (that could actually be defied at acceptable cost with some amount of bravery)? 1/2

      1 reply 0 retweets 7 likes
    3. Zack M. Davis‏ @zackmdavis Jan 13
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      Replying to @zackmdavis @ESYudkowsky

      The voting case is a particularly interesting one where 2008!Yudkowsky seems to disagree with 2020!Yudkowsky, and I'm curious what changed your mind? 2/2https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/k5qPoHFgjyxtvYsm7/stop-voting-for-nincompoops …

      2 replies 0 retweets 7 likes
    4. Eliezer Yudkowsky‏Verified account @ESYudkowsky Jan 13
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      Replying to @zackmdavis

      Improved model of the social climate where revolutions are much less startable or controllable by good actors. Having spent more time chewing on Nash equilibria, and realizing that the trap is *real* and can't be defied away even if it's very unpleasant.

      1 reply 0 retweets 16 likes
    5. Eliezer Yudkowsky‏Verified account @ESYudkowsky Jan 13
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      Replying to @ESYudkowsky @zackmdavis

      To a first approximation, you are always actually trapped. If you weren't actually trapped, you'd be seeing defiant teenagers being outside the trap *successfully* in a useful direction.

      3 replies 0 retweets 9 likes
    6. Sarah Constantin‏ @s_r_constantin Jan 13
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      Replying to @ESYudkowsky @zackmdavis

      There really are people who don't vote for major party candidates (hi!). There are significantly fewer people, but they exist, who don't go to doctors, who emigrate from countries whose governments they disapprove of, or who evade taxes, though those are much more costly.

      2 replies 0 retweets 4 likes
    7. Eliezer Yudkowsky‏Verified account @ESYudkowsky Jan 13
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      Replying to @s_r_constantin @zackmdavis

      And your candidates don't get elected. Trump got elected, but he's not a good person's candidate. The equilibrium can't be *successfully* broken in a *useful* direction. So your *best* options are the lesser evil acts inside it. The trap is real and cannot be wished away.

      3 replies 0 retweets 21 likes
    8. Sarah Constantin‏ @s_r_constantin Jan 13
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      Replying to @ESYudkowsky @zackmdavis

      It's true that not nearly enough people do the things I mentioned to break the Nash equilibrium. The question is, are people really "trapped" in that they *have* to do the more common thing or else the personal consequences for them are dire? Not always.

      2 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
    9. Eliezer Yudkowsky‏Verified account @ESYudkowsky Jan 13
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      Replying to @s_r_constantin @zackmdavis

      Demanding "personal" consequences is moving the goalposts; the question is whether a defiant action is *best*, not whether it has personal consequences. People who refused to vote for Hillary didn't pay the price, kids in cages did, but that still makes the action nonbest.

      3 replies 0 retweets 10 likes
    10. Sarah Constantin‏ @s_r_constantin Jan 13
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      Replying to @ESYudkowsky @zackmdavis

      Your original point was "it would be immoral to vote for Hillary/pay taxes/trade with doctors/etc. if you weren't trapped by a bad Nash equilibrium." The counterargument I made is "you're not trapped, you totally can do those things." You said "but there are worse consequences...

      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
      Sarah Constantin‏ @s_r_constantin Jan 13
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      Replying to @s_r_constantin @ESYudkowsky @zackmdavis

      if you don't do those things." Okay, but that only holds force if you're following a rule like "you can't cause harm (eg increase probability of kids in cages) unless you can in expectation prevent even greater harm by doing so."

      12:10 PM - 13 Jan 2020
      • 1 Like
      • ian hines
      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        1. New conversation
        2. Sarah Constantin‏ @s_r_constantin Jan 13
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          Replying to @s_r_constantin @ESYudkowsky @zackmdavis

          Basically this is act-utilitarianism, right? Or, like, "following a rigid rule regardless of immediate consequence is only justifiable if you can show that there actually are enough rule-followers to produce the better outcomes that would happen if everyone followed the rule"?

          2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
        3. Sarah Constantin‏ @s_r_constantin Jan 13
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          Replying to @s_r_constantin @ESYudkowsky @zackmdavis

          I think "trapped in a bad Nash equilibrium" implies the reason people do the suboptimal thing is that they are *dissuaded* by the bad consequences of doing some other thing unilaterally. So...we have a 2-party system because there are *too many* people worried about harm?

          1 reply 1 retweet 2 likes
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