Great dynasties - like great civilizations - are built by thinking multigenerationally. Not biweekly (like an employee) or quarterly (like a corporation).
To build something that lasts decades, you better plan for those decades (or millenia ie @longnow).https://twitter.com/OfMatriarch/status/1203870514516611073 …
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Fitting a curve where one timestep is 30 years means having maybe dozens of 30-year data points in the same paradigm. I don’t think that’s actually possible with economic data; the political situation changes, the records get incommensurate, etc.
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"Thinking multigenerationally" does not mean "Your models should all be quantized to 30 years". One is permitted to use annual granularity on multigenerational models - say, thinking about the effects of climate change on your grandchildren, using predictions of annual temp.
End of conversation
New conversation -
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I think of it as in between/combining those, more like "Predict what will happen if my current plan continues for 30 years, and revise that prediction as data comes in." Seems incomplete to skip either the forecasting or the revision.
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Step 1 is actually having kids. And yeah some people throughout history have done that with explicit dynastic goals. There’s a great book on the subject
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