Have you ever thought "That person / company / etc. is being irrational" ... and then when you dug into the details, realized you were wrong -- that their strategy actually made sense, or that their goals were different than you assumed? I'd be interested to hear examples!
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In businesses, I think a lot of examples can be found in 'commoditize your complement' dynamics: https://www.gwern.net/Complement 'Why are they giving away all this stuff?!' etc. Certainly a lot of businessmen used to think any involvement in FLOSS was the height of naïvety.
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