The opposite of Hanlon's Razor is something like "never attribute to stupidity what can be adequately explained by not actually wanting to do the thing."
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But "performance responds to some incentives" doesn't imply "performance will respond to all incentives." For instance, I suspect there are some kinds of cognitive tasks where punishing failure will not improve performance.
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We have a concept of "your fault" that corresponds to a prediction that punishment will be a deterrent, and a concept of "not your fault" that corresponds to a prediction that incentives will have no effects at all.
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But what if something like "creative thinking" is something people do better when they're motivated, but it has to be intrinsic motivation? What if you can't threaten or punish people into being more creative?
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If we conflate "has agency" with "deserves punishment", there's a lot of important stuff we can't talk about.
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End of conversation
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