This article is a good explanation of my “weak AI skeptic” position; I think it’s not plausible that we’ll build a machine that can do everything a mouse can without major innovations in network architecture.
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Of course, ML researchers *do* innovate! And I don’t have much confidence in my ability to forecast how fast they’ll solve the relevant remaining problems. But I am confident that the position “we just need more computing power and we’ll get human-level AI” is false.
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