Several reasons to think Democrats could be favored in a Georgia Senate runoff:
(1) Warnock leads in the 1st round
(2) Kemp won't be running and helping GOP turnout
(3) Democrats gained compared to the November election in the January 2021 runoffs.
#GASEN #Election2022
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2 more important factors for the Georgia Senate runoff:
- If Trump announces a 2024 presidential bid, that could juice Democratic turnout.
- Warnock's voters like him more than Walker's voters like him. If Democrats win the majority via AZ/NV, Republicans may stay home.
#GASEN
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And at least 3 more women that Herschel Walker paid to have abortions will come forward by then and his only response will be to pull out a Blockbuster preferred customer card that says he's a top renter.
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It really depends on whether that seat will determine who runs the Senate. If it does, I fear Rs who voted Warnock first time will turn and vote Walker to control the Senate.
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We have to keep donating and organizing and keep up the enthusiasm
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Also, Dems are likely winning the Senate without GA. Persons who hold their nose to vote for Walker (despite his ‘personality’) due to wanting to take control of the Senate will likely not turn out as much as it really won’t matter in the overall balance of power.
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Bring in DeSantis, Rubio to help. Work with Kemp to come aboard. Pull out all the stops.
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If GOP moves on Trump it can only. E positive for Warnock
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An even bigger factor would be if trump announces before the run off. That should help democrats quite a bit.