Ryan Grim on Twitter: "This is the funny yet also sophisticated version of what I just wrote… "

@ryangrim

DC bureau chief at The Intercept. Young Turks contributor. Strong Arm Press co-founder. http://ryangrim-at-gmail.com DM for Signal.

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1. Neal Chandra‏ @ChandraNeal 5 Nov 2016
  Replying to @ryangrim
  
  it's funny because this article has about the same amount of serious empirical analysis as yours.
  
  3 likes
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1. sixf0ur‏ @64s 5 Nov 2016
  Replying to @ryangrim
  
  Do you understand that Nate can say that Trump has a <20% chance of getting Nom, Trump gets the Nom, and Nate was still not wrong?
  
  1 like
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1. Matt Mikle‏ @Moneyman2626 5 Nov 2016
  Replying to @ryangrim
  
  Tuesday's going to be fun when Nate is right and all you guys are stunned about what happened.
  
  1 like
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1. Brandon Music‏ @BrandonMusicKy 6 Nov 2016
  Replying to @ryangrim
  
  it assumes unskewing=TLA. US=pulling from raw data poll, TLA=statistical anLYs that looks at past polls w/o pulling raw data
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1. sixf0ur‏ @64s 5 Nov 2016
  Replying to @ryangrim
  
  Do you understand how probabilities work? What is your math background? You seem clueless.
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1. James Stewart‏ @jamespstewart 5 Nov 2016
  Replying to @ryangrim
  
  Nate has Florida, North Carolina, and Nevada all going to Trump. Actual results on Tuesday, best 2 out of 3 wins.
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1. James Stewart‏ @jamespstewart 5 Nov 2016
  Replying to @ryangrim
  
  I'm a Nate fan from his days as Poblano. It is clear that he is under pressure from above to keep the horse race going.
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1. Mark Burdon‏ @burdonmark 5 Nov 2016
  Replying to @ryangrim
  
  Ryan, have you ever looked at the 2015 UK election polls? If the samples aren't balanced right you can run all the polls you like
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1. Chase‏ @yeslikethebank 5 Nov 2016
  Replying to @ryangrim
  
  Shh. Accept the Bayesian, don't write articles on statistics 'till then
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1. Jackson‏ @JacksonMonroee 5 Nov 2016
  Replying to @ryangrim
  
  Funny, it doesn't say anything at all grossly wrong about statistics.
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