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ryangrim's profile
Ryan Grim
Ryan Grim
Ryan Grim
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@ryangrim

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Ryan GrimVerified account

@ryangrim

DC bureau chief at The Intercept. Young Turks contributor. http://ryangrim-at-gmail.com  DM for Signal. Author of We've Got People. Views are my own, not yours.

washington
badnews.substack.com
Joined September 2008

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    Ryan Grim‏Verified account @ryangrim 24 Sep 2020

    Lots of polling shows that Democrats are less likely to vote if they believe Trump is just going to steal the election. Trump's people have no doubt seen that polling too, which might be motivating Trump to be so honest about stealing the election. Win-win, so to speak.

    6:55 AM - 24 Sep 2020
    • 4,088 Retweets
    • 13,056 Likes
    • Lauren!. Natella Seyranyan Debbie L. 🇺🇸🏴‍☠️ joey Belle Becky Tollerson TabithaCastro Darren Goldfarb Cariinchicago
    2,030 replies 4,088 retweets 13,056 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. Ryan Grim‏Verified account @ryangrim 24 Sep 2020

        The more he can get the media and Democratic leaders to talk about his willingness to steal the election, the less likely it becomes that he has to steal it to win. Awfully clever, if intentional.

        144 replies 370 retweets 1,762 likes
        Show this thread
      3. Ryan Grim‏Verified account @ryangrim 24 Sep 2020

        And this point is not remotely controversial among Democratic strategists who analyze polling and have found that people are more likely to vote if they think their vote will matter and count. Here's one piece of a memo where they talk about how to better frame it (3rd row down)pic.twitter.com/VAKow78PCl

        42 replies 162 retweets 664 likes
        Show this thread
      4. Ryan Grim‏Verified account @ryangrim 24 Sep 2020

        Ryan Grim Retweeted G. Elliott Morris

        This yougov model finds that undermining faith in the election does not hurt enthusiasm. What I’m reporting on here is the conclusion of Dem strategists who’ve analyzed the polling and argue the opposite, that if you tell people their vote won’t count, they’re less likely to votehttps://twitter.com/gelliottmorris/status/1309174101924294664 …

        Ryan Grim added,

        G. Elliott MorrisVerified account @gelliottmorris
        This was a good suggestion — here is the same analysis but it allows for an interaction between party ID and faith in the election. There are no difference between how Democrats and Republicans are impacted by their trust in the process. https://twitter.com/th1s2shallpa55/status/1309172248411017217 … pic.twitter.com/OYrHLsdcVB
        Show this thread
        38 replies 45 retweets 258 likes
        Show this thread
      5. Ryan Grim‏Verified account @ryangrim 24 Sep 2020

        The Biden camp thinks this is what he's doingpic.twitter.com/0bFAtlcAkT

        41 replies 72 retweets 303 likes
        Show this thread
      6. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. smooth bernie (fake)‏ @Smooth_Bernie_ 24 Sep 2020
        Replying to @ryangrim

        no effect on republicans? if they feel that trump is going to win anyway regardless of them voting, won't they be less likely to vote too?

        6 replies 0 retweets 27 likes
      3. Spankenstein‏ @FatMachismo 24 Sep 2020
        Replying to @Smooth_Bernie_ @ryangrim

        Republicans are usually much more reliable voters. They show up.

        6 replies 0 retweets 13 likes
      4. Show replies
      1. New conversation
      2. Gayle‏ @TheGayleTales 24 Sep 2020
        Replying to @ryangrim

        Gayle Retweeted Kyle Griffin

        Which is right? Tired of all opinions and no facts https://twitter.com/kylegriffin1/status/1309092719797710855?s=21 …https://twitter.com/kylegriffin1/status/1309092719797710855 …

        Gayle added,

        Kyle GriffinVerified account @kylegriffin1
        Voter registration is surging after Ruth Bader Ginsburg's death. https://cnb.cx/3cuMSxF 
        2 replies 0 retweets 6 likes
      3. Spankenstein‏ @FatMachismo 24 Sep 2020
        Replying to @TheGayleTales @ryangrim

        Voter registration and voter likelihood are two different things.

        3 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
      4. Show replies
      1. New conversation
      2. Sean Brown‏ @sbrown063087 24 Sep 2020
        Replying to @ryangrim

        And they’re even less less likely to vote when they know the establishment Dems cheated in the last two primaries which works in Trumps favor.

        26 replies 0 retweets 14 likes
      3. Show replies

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