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Ryan Best proslijedio/la je Tweet
All you have to do is look at the spark lines on our newly-updated forecast promo to see the story of Iowa. https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-primary-forecast/ …pic.twitter.com/zoar4K3Mpx
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Pink = Biden Teal = Sanders Orange = Buttigieg Purple = Warren
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Along with our snazzy upgraded Iowa state module including some results (!!) along with our final forecast (I still can't believe we have RESULTS!!) https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-primary-forecast/iowa/ …pic.twitter.com/TIhN2WO4uw
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The
@FiveThirtyEight Primary Forecast is finally unfrozen
with results (!!) from Iowa – see how they impact Bernie, Buttigieg, Biden, Warren, and all the candidates vying for the Democratic nomination.https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-primary-forecast/?ex_cid=story-twitter …Prikaži ovu nitHvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
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Ryan Best proslijedio/la je Tweet
Just trying to be as honest/transparent as possible: the model will try to guess at the Iowa bounces for each candidate, but these guesses aren't worth much because Iowa was really weird and there are multiple ways to define who won (assuming current results hold).
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There still aren't enough results in Iowa for us to unfreeze our Primary Forecast Model. But once there are, what's next? https://53eig.ht/2tyDHdI pic.twitter.com/uTUJKigL3T
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Bernie narrowly leads in both vote share counts (first and final alignments) from the first 62% of precincts in Iowa, but Mayor Pete picked up the most votes from the realignment process.pic.twitter.com/cPy9hnUN8u
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Here's all the results for those first 62% of precincts in IA. Sanders with narrow leads in the first and final alignments. Buttigieg with a narrow lead in State Delegate Equivalents. https://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/iowa-caucus-2020-election-live/256151/ …
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Good early preliminary results for Buttigieg in Iowa. Come on over and hang out with us at our
@FiveThirtyEight LIVE blog as we dig deeper into the results that we do have and eagerly wait for more to be published. https://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/iowa-caucus-2020-election-live/ …pic.twitter.com/n1lm1uKKmj
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A great stopgap from
@NateSilver538 and@FiveThirtyEight while we STILL wait for Iowa results .. what impact might the Iowa shitshow have on the broader primary race?https://twitter.com/FiveThirtyEight/status/1224672833823039488 …Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
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We're LIVE!! Come join our live blog as we usher in the first official results of the 2020 Presidential Electionhttps://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/iowa-caucus-2020-election-live/ …
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That little yellow banner means that it's obviously a pretty big day over here at
@FiveThirtyEight See our final forecast for the Iowa caucuses and check back for updates as the results start coming in! https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-primary-forecast/iowa/ …pic.twitter.com/V76KL0q9gQ
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Ryan Best proslijedio/la je Tweet
And.... it's 3PM so these are our final numbers for Iowa. Remember to criticize us if someone other than Sanders wins since we had Sanders as the most likely winner, and also to criticize us if Sanders wins since we had him at <50%.https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1224412117568229381 …
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Ryan Best proslijedio/la je Tweet
Meanwhile, Prince’s status is secured ...pic.twitter.com/WwSGqzmfjt
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Ryan Best proslijedio/la je TweetHvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi
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Big ups to
@wiederkehra,@ellawinthrop,@juruwolfe, and@jazzmyth for helping me with the design of the gorg little wormies on the charts
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In an OVER THREE HOUR LONG broadcast, the average NFL game has less than 20 minutes of real game action. Woof.pic.twitter.com/gfugi5Eu7y
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Looking at each minute of the NFC Championship game, you can really see how much football is a hurry-up-and-wait kind of gamepic.twitter.com/wFOXCmuSt5
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