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ruima's profile
Rui Ma
Rui Ma
Rui Ma
Verified account
@ruima

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Rui MaVerified account

@ruima

Tech for human flourishing @transtechlab; also: 🎙@techbuzzchina 🇺🇸🇨🇳podcast 🌎, 😸, 📚, runner. meditating vegetarian 🥦. @Cal @INSEAD @UIUC @Harvard 🎓

San Francisco, CA
about.me/missruima
Joined January 2008

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    Rui Ma‏Verified account @ruima 21 Aug 2018

    Luck and Reputation Matter in Venture Capital. Skill Doesn’t. Harvard and Yale researchers find that VCs’ abilities to pick investments and nurture start-ups “play little role if any” in long-term outperformance.https://www.institutionalinvestor.com/article/b19lntp65ndv8c/Luck-and-Reputation-Matter-in-Venture-Capital-Skill-Doesn-t …

    4:35 PM - 21 Aug 2018
    • 44 Retweets
    • 100 Likes
    • tony clayton Krish Emina GameLANeSports rohit jain Taylor Black 🌧🏔 ☕ Justin Tsang Lars Rehfeldt Navia
    7 replies 44 retweets 100 likes
      1. Rui Ma‏Verified account @ruima 22 Aug 2018

        I think I am just going to direct everyone to the working paper here before meaningless debates ensue: https://www.hbs.edu/faculty/Publication%20Files/17-065_6cccf406-042e-4aa6-bf9a-fb3aba945e77.pdf …

        0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
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      2. Chang Xu‏ @_changxu 22 Aug 2018
        Replying to @ruima

        I have so many questions about the methodology and how they can draw conclusions around causation...

        2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. Rui Ma‏Verified account @ruima 22 Aug 2018
        Replying to @_changxu

        Well you are in luck, I just located the (working) paper: https://www.hbs.edu/faculty/Publication%20Files/17-065_6cccf406-042e-4aa6-bf9a-fb3aba945e77.pdf …

        0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
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      2. Andrew Lai‏ @tekkamana 22 Aug 2018
        Replying to @ruima

        @timheasley and @artesianvc in 3... 2... 1...

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      3. artesian‏ @artesianvc 22 Aug 2018
        Replying to @tekkamana @ruima @timheasley

        Yes - on aggregate the returns of #startups are asymmetrically skewed & the returns of #VCs are identically asymmetrically skewed. Portfolio diversification & access to good deal flow increase probability of good risk adjusted returns - otherwise luck it is

        1 reply 1 retweet 4 likes
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      1. iang‏ @iang_fc 22 Aug 2018
        Replying to @ruima

        VCs are stuck in the trap of the market for insufficient information, a cousin of the markets for asymmetric information. This is necessarily so because they are betting on the future. In such a situation, the market converges on signals, or consensus over beliefs.

        0 replies 2 retweets 1 like
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      1. iang‏ @iang_fc 22 Aug 2018
        Replying to @ruima

        The seminal paper on this topic is Michael Spence, “Job Market Signaling,” Quarterly Journal of Economics, v87 (1973) pp355.

        0 replies 0 retweets 4 likes
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      1. Ladislav Stejskal‏ @ladislavtweet 23 Aug 2018
        Replying to @ruima

        Thanks for the links to the paper @ruima .

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      1. Friendly neighbor. KOL. Bitcoin expert.TA wizard.‏ @Cynicalbananman 23 Aug 2018
        Replying to @ruima

        Isn't luck the most dominant factor in all things ?

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