Late night thread looking at Stacey Abram's race and the role of African American voters, especially a sneaking suspicion about rural AA voters not coming out in force for her, complete with maps and charts! 1/whenever I die on this hill
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Now for the more interesting median shift, herewith positive being more of a shift to Republicans and negative being a shift towards Democratspic.twitter.com/OM48hakb2Y
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Here the size of the county in each cohort was the big divider, Dems won better margins in large counties while bleeding hard in smaller ones. What's reallllly interesting to point out is how similar in margin change the rural black belt with 25-50% AA and the under 25% AA look
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Stacey Abram's did great in more metro areas and was able to make convincing swings in the mixed suburban Atlanta suburbs but there is a clear turnout and marginal overperformance over rural areas regardless of racial composition, which is a pretty cool breakdown
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@leahaskarinam for asking and giving me the idea for this breakdown rather than back of the napkin math on county topline shiftsShow this thread
End of conversation
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