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That last update only appears to have cleared out 5,496 of L.A. County's unprocessed ballots, leaving potentially ~35,734 countywide (and probably 2,000 to 3,000 from CA25 there)
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In the 3,000-ballot scenario, Smith would need around 57% of what's left from LA, in the 2,000-ballot scenario that goes up to 60%. Neither accounts for the ~300-400 votes still left from the more GOP-friendly Ventura County portion.
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