Dr Roz Eggo

@rozeggo

Rosalind Eggo - Assist Prof - Dynamic modelling, resp viruses, severe outcomes, EHRs, & optimising vaccines - Funding - Run &

Vrijeme pridruživanja: kolovoz 2013.

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  1. Prikvačeni tweet
    1. sij

    What better way to start the New Year than thinking about how community immunity (aka herd immunity) protects you and the people around you! At the Royal Institution it was zombies (not real) but the principle applies to real infectious diseases.

    , , i još njih 3
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  2. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    3. velj

    There's been a lot of interest in this aspect of our analysis, so we built an online tool to allow people to explore different assumptions/scenarios further

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  3. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    2. velj
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  4. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    31. sij

    We've updated analysis of transmission to compare with observed cases reported internationally, and estimate potential for outbreaks in new areas (assuming similar transmission to Wuhan). A full pre-print will be online shortly 1/

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  5. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    31. sij

    We've made some updates to our Shiny app for the effectiveness of traveller screening. Compare nCoV-2019 to H1N1, MERS and SARS. Shorter incubation period is what drives ability to detect. //

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  6. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    30. sij

    In response to new data on the incubation period of () we have updated our interactive tool and report. Take a look here:

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  7. proslijedio/la je Tweet

    🚨BREAKING🚨 "For all of these reasons, I am declaring a public health emergency of international concern over the global outbreak of ."-

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  8. proslijedio/la je Tweet

    How effective is thermal scanning for detecting people with the new ? 🤔 have developed an interactive tool for public health authorities to judge the effectiveness of installing scanners at airports. Find out more 👉

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  9. 29. sij

    An epicurve of early data and analysis of 425 cases. Very nice paper, and v useful to modellers! Now we will try to incorporate the new information into the models...

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  10. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    28. sij

    We've made an interactive tool to visualise the effectiveness of airport screening for detecting cases. Adjust travel times, incubation period length, screening sensitivities and more at

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  11. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    28. sij

    We combined multiple datasets with a mathematical model to estimate how R0 has varied over time in Wuhan. We found R0 has likely fluctuated between 1.5-4, with strong indication that R0 was above 2 in early Jan. More info and context below... 1/

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  12. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    27. sij

    Lots of discussion of R0 (basic reproduction number) for , but maybe useful to explain how to calculate it and where uncertainties come from. R0 is context-specific, and can vary in different populations. It is not a measure of virulence (which is disease severity). 1/x

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  13. proslijedio/la je Tweet

    No confirmed cases of Wuhan coronavirus have been detected in the UK and the risk to the UK population is low. If you have travelled to the affected area, make sure you know what to do if you experience symptoms:

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  14. proslijedio/la je Tweet

    "The world is more prepared than it's ever been before" How does a virus spread and what happens when it does? Dr Rosalind Eggo explains

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  15. proslijedio/la je Tweet

    Know your epidemics from your pandemics? This excellent video sees our very own unravelling some of the jargon commonly heard when there is a disease outbreak. 😷🔬

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  16. 24. sij

    Analysis of early clusters of infection, just out in the Lancet from Chan et al: Very interesting stuff, with detailed investigation of these cases.

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  17. proslijedio/la je Tweet

    "Within a few weeks the virus was sequenced. There's been remarkable progress in technological solutions." Great feature on with LSHTM's & then giving very clear insight (📺 22:00)

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  18. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    24. sij

    As our knowledge of and this outbreak grows, what - crucially - happens next in the response? 🌏💡 An informative summary by (from 22mins) with expert insight from & ⬇️ |

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  19. proslijedio/la je Tweet

    I am not declaring the new outbreak a public health emergency of international concern today. The Emergency Committee was divided over whether the outbreak represents a PHEIC. This is an emergency in China, but it has not yet become a global health emergency.

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  20. proslijedio/la je Tweet

    "There are a lot of unknowns at the moment. We know it can spread from person-to-person but we don't know how efficient it is. We don’t know if it is very transmittable." discusses the latest news on . 🌍

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  21. proslijedio/la je Tweet

    "The decision about whether or not to declare a public health emergency of international concern is one I take extremely seriously, and one I am only prepared to make with appropriate consideration of all the evidence"- on new

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