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I’m starting to think the idea that Trump captured the Republican Party has it exactly backward. It’s the party that’s captured Trump, making him pursue all its favorite policies (taxes, judges, deregulation), just with a modicum of space for Trumpian idiosyncrasy on trade.
Moreover, Trump has the great virtue from the standpoint of the R party that he can increase support for it among the less well off whites by playing the racism and nativism card. Otherwise, plutocratic policies would have dwindling electoral support.
Which, by the way, is why I am unconvinced by @ezraklein’s argument (in his new book) downplaying material conditions (inequality and economic insecurity) as a strong factor behind “polarized identity.”
Aside from the fact that there’s a ton of evidence pointing to economic factors (trade, jobs, austerity) behind the rise of the nativist right in the US and Europe, appealing to the electorate on identity grounds is the obvious plutocratic strategy in such unequal times.
We develop the last point theoretically (and anecdotally) in this paper https://drodrik.scholar.harvard.edu/publications/ideas-versus-interests ….
This is effectively the case Laffer and Moore (and Kudlow) make in Trumponomics: that they harnessed him early.
I thought McCain and Romney supported carbon taxes. It seems that Trump has changed the GOP to, or resolved its contradictions in the most reactionary way. McCain voted for immigration reform. Trump kidnaps kids. Serious underestimation of Trump, I think.
Btw, you really need to add attack on the safety net to that parenthetical. It’s a good eg of your point as it’s always been a central R goal in which Trump never showed much interest. These folks operate from a playbook that says rich don’t have enuf & poor have too much.
I would say it is a transaction both sides have agreed to because it is mutually beneficial.
Counterpoint: on the campaign trail, there was never anywhere much as daylight between Trump and the GOP’s “favored policies” as the punditry claimed. I made this argument in Feb 2016.https://baselinescenario.com/2016/02/03/donald-trump-is-running-as-a-conservative-republican/ …
There's a gamut of reason behind trump supporters. I think Dani's arrow is well placed though. Whenever trump tepidly dips his toe in mainstream opinions, he ends up pulling it back to appease his base. Instances that come to mind: daca, "fine people on both sides", vape ban
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