No, not at all obvious: “if aliens ever do visit, expect the evidence not to be ambiguous or hiding behind a pile of ordinary unexplained events.”
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The most intriguing and plausible explanation for ufo events is the 'psyop overcapacity' thesis courtesy of Motte poster Ilforte, who is now calling himself DaseIndustriesLtd:
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Reminder that the '50s UFO craze was caused by a government psyop to cover up Project Mogul
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Was the world visited by UFOs in the late 1940s and early 1950s?
No.
But something real to do with objects in the sky did happen in that period:
steveblank.com/2010/01/28/bal
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I'll go out on a limb and say that is 2023's worst use of the word "expect".
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The DOD created a psy-op false-flag spectacle off the east coast in order to then debunk real documented observations off the west coast. Media and uap community fell for it.
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The rocket equation and special relativity tell us that Δv is one of the most precious commodity in the universe. Why would an alien civilization ever want to slow down and fall into our gravity hole?
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I bet it would be very ambiguous. It is like uncontacted tribe in Amazonia trying to make sense of contrails in the sky and we are one species with them. We would also fail to recognize alien techno-signature even if we saw it given the technology is exotic to us.
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It's a fallacious argument because it stems from anthropomorphization. We expect aliens them to show themselves clearly because it's what we humans would've done. But we have never met an alien race before nor is there a law of physics that they should behave in a certain way.
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The confidence of a business journalist speculating on extraterrestrial life
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