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40% chance next Dem president nominee is a Cinderella, rising from obscurity, going from 1% chance to 100% in a short time.

electionbettingodds.com

Live Election Betting Odds

Live betting odds on the 2024 presidential election, and more! Who will win? Biden, Trump, Harris, DeSantis?... Click to find out

11:20 PM · Apr 27, 2022

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I like his chances

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Metaculus has Biden at 54% chance of being the 2024 Democratic nominee

Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election?

The aggregate of 533 Metaculus community forecasters was 61% on Jan 31, 2023.

1

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This you throwing your hat in the ring?

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