Journalists & academics fail in different ways. Academics fail by focusing on topics w/ almost no potential to matter. Journalists fail by not trying harder to imagine & respond to well-informed critics.
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Or it could be "measure 0" and have 0 probability while still being possible. Most of my favorite decisions have this probability of success (take that, "rational expectations" people.)
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What I mean is that it’s hard (if not impossible) to know which lines of arcane academic research will matter in the future. Most won’t but some will ...
End of conversation
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