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robinhanson's profile
Robin Hanson
Robin Hanson
Robin Hanson
Verified account
@robinhanson

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Robin HansonVerified account

@robinhanson

Let's skip witty repartee & position taking, & discuss enduring fundamental questions. (& my books: http://ageofem.com , http://elephantinthebrain.com )

Fairfax, VA
hanson.gmu.edu
Joined July 2007

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    1. Robin Hanson‏Verified account @robinhanson Nov 1

      Now that the Harvard suit reminds us to wonder how can we "fairly" admit college students, I remind the world that it would be fair to use prediction markets tied to many fair outcomes, like GPA, graduation rates, etc. https://www.overcomingbias.com/2012/12/college-admission-markets.html …https://www.economist.com/united-states/2018/06/23/a-lawsuit-reveals-how-peculiar-harvards-definition-of-merit-is …

      8 replies 5 retweets 28 likes
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    2. Clark H‏ @Clarksterh Nov 1
      Replying to @robinhanson

      Prediction markets wld likely just reflect American biases. Eg over valuing extroversion, which is almost certainly one of the things hurting (E?) Asians trying to get into Harvard (or promoted in Silicon Valley?) (you urself alluded to being less likely to complain)

      2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
    3. Santiago Tórtora‏ @lordcataplanga Nov 1
      Replying to @Clarksterh @robinhanson

      You say that like it's a bad thing, but all I see is easy money. Just bet for the smart introverts.

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    4. Clark H‏ @Clarksterh Nov 1
      Replying to @lordcataplanga @robinhanson

      I’d suggest prediction markets correct noise, but not bias. In order to correct bias you need long term info, even if noisy. Also not clear that this wld correct self-reinforcing bad biases that are part of larger culture.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    5. Santiago Tórtora‏ @lordcataplanga Nov 1
      Replying to @Clarksterh @robinhanson

      It wouldn't correct the larger culture, only Harvard. If the rest of the world is biased against introverts and Harvard correctly predicts that they will have worse outcomes, that's hardly Harvard's fault.

      2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
    6. Robin Hanson‏Verified account @robinhanson Nov 1
      Replying to @lordcataplanga @Clarksterh

      I proposed predicting outcomes fully under Harvard's control, such as GPA and graduation chance.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    7. Santiago Tórtora‏ @lordcataplanga Nov 1
      Replying to @robinhanson @Clarksterh

      Harvard won't keep its prestige that way. It has to come from something that interacts with the real world, not just internal measures that they can fully control.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      Robin Hanson‏Verified account @robinhanson Nov 1
      Replying to @lordcataplanga @Clarksterh

      I'm okay with using outside outcome measures, even if they are polluted by some bias of the outside world.

      12:04 PM - 1 Nov 2018
      • 1 Like
      • Santiago Tórtora
      0 replies 0 retweets 1 like

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