I doubt this (strongly expect they're failing to control for something) because of a principle Andrew Gelman points out frequently - there are lots of things we'd expect to have an effect size as large as this. Impossible that they all do. Bizarre that only this one would.https://twitter.com/robinhanson/status/1056968442593591300 …
Replying to @KelseyTuoc
I sure wish we had markets where you could properly express your skepticism.
11:14 AM - 29 Oct 2018
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