Skip to content
  • Home Home Home, current page.
  • Moments Moments Moments, current page.

Saved searches

  • Remove
  • In this conversation
    Verified accountProtected Tweets @
Suggested users
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @
  • Language: English
    • Bahasa Indonesia
    • Bahasa Melayu
    • Català
    • Čeština
    • Dansk
    • Deutsch
    • English UK
    • Español
    • Filipino
    • Français
    • Hrvatski
    • Italiano
    • Magyar
    • Nederlands
    • Norsk
    • Polski
    • Português
    • Română
    • Slovenčina
    • Suomi
    • Svenska
    • Tiếng Việt
    • Türkçe
    • Ελληνικά
    • Български език
    • Русский
    • Српски
    • Українська мова
    • עִבְרִית
    • العربية
    • فارسی
    • मराठी
    • हिन्दी
    • বাংলা
    • ગુજરાતી
    • தமிழ்
    • ಕನ್ನಡ
    • ภาษาไทย
    • 한국어
    • 日本語
    • 简体中文
    • 繁體中文
  • Have an account? Log in
    Have an account?
    · Forgot password?

    New to Twitter?
    Sign up
robinhanson's profile
Robin Hanson
Robin Hanson
Robin Hanson
Verified account
@robinhanson

Tweets

Robin HansonVerified account

@robinhanson

Let's skip witty repartee & position taking, & discuss enduring fundamental questions. (& my books: http://ageofem.com , http://elephantinthebrain.com )

Fairfax, VA
hanson.gmu.edu
Joined July 2007

Tweets

  • © 2018 Twitter
  • About
  • Help Center
  • Terms
  • Privacy policy
  • Cookies
  • Ads info
Dismiss
Previous
Next

Go to a person's profile

Saved searches

  • Remove
  • In this conversation
    Verified accountProtected Tweets @
Suggested users
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @

Promote this Tweet

Block

  • Tweet with a location

    You can add location information to your Tweets, such as your city or precise location, from the web and via third-party applications. You always have the option to delete your Tweet location history. Learn more

    Your lists

    Create a new list


    Under 100 characters, optional

    Privacy

    Copy link to Tweet

    Embed this Tweet

    Embed this Video

    Add this Tweet to your website by copying the code below. Learn more

    Add this video to your website by copying the code below. Learn more

    Hmm, there was a problem reaching the server.

    By embedding Twitter content in your website or app, you are agreeing to the Twitter Developer Agreement and Developer Policy.

    Preview

    Why you're seeing this ad

    Log in to Twitter

    · Forgot password?
    Don't have an account? Sign up »

    Sign up for Twitter

    Not on Twitter? Sign up, tune into the things you care about, and get updates as they happen.

    Sign up
    Have an account? Log in »

    Two-way (sending and receiving) short codes:

    Country Code For customers of
    United States 40404 (any)
    Canada 21212 (any)
    United Kingdom 86444 Vodafone, Orange, 3, O2
    Brazil 40404 Nextel, TIM
    Haiti 40404 Digicel, Voila
    Ireland 51210 Vodafone, O2
    India 53000 Bharti Airtel, Videocon, Reliance
    Indonesia 89887 AXIS, 3, Telkomsel, Indosat, XL Axiata
    Italy 4880804 Wind
    3424486444 Vodafone
    » See SMS short codes for other countries

    Confirmation

     

    Welcome home!

    This timeline is where you’ll spend most of your time, getting instant updates about what matters to you.

    Tweets not working for you?

    Hover over the profile pic and click the Following button to unfollow any account.

    Say a lot with a little

    When you see a Tweet you love, tap the heart — it lets the person who wrote it know you shared the love.

    Spread the word

    The fastest way to share someone else’s Tweet with your followers is with a Retweet. Tap the icon to send it instantly.

    Join the conversation

    Add your thoughts about any Tweet with a Reply. Find a topic you’re passionate about, and jump right in.

    Learn the latest

    Get instant insight into what people are talking about now.

    Get more of what you love

    Follow more accounts to get instant updates about topics you care about.

    Find what's happening

    See the latest conversations about any topic instantly.

    Never miss a Moment

    Catch up instantly on the best stories happening as they unfold.

    Robin Hanson‏Verified account @robinhanson Oct 22

    We plan too much: "while careful planning should not be downplayed, many projects … are too highly complex to be comprehensively catered for by scenario & project planning. Because of this, flexibility & agility become necessary characteristics."http://www.pmoadvisory.com/blog/think-slow-and-act-fast/ …

    4:00 AM - 22 Oct 2018
    • 13 Retweets
    • 54 Likes
    • Anomaly N°©👇v📣πe87 Robert Cummins Chris Bronkhorst RESIN NaNoDolo📖 🖋️ inhumane kantian Tequehead Shanu Athiparambath
    5 replies 13 retweets 54 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. Spinborg Botticcus‏ @Spinborg Oct 26
        Replying to @robinhanson @cyborg_nomade

        very highly intellectual video

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      3. Robin Hanson‏Verified account @robinhanson Oct 26
        Replying to @Spinborg @cyborg_nomade

        Video?

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      4. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. Daniel Bilar‏ @daniel_bilar Oct 22
        Replying to @robinhanson @cargomoose

        There is a whole worthwhile book on this by Clarke (1999) https://www.amazon.com/Mission-Improbable-Fantasy-Documents-Disaster/dp/0226109410/ref=sr_1_6?s=books&ie=UTF8&qid=1540250978&sr=1-6 …pic.twitter.com/MNrAYXrr24

        1 reply 3 retweets 12 likes
      3. David Manheim‏ @davidmanheim Oct 23
        Replying to @daniel_bilar @robinhanson @cargomoose

        As I said yesterday, the literature on planning under deep uncertainty is more useful than the approaches being discussed. A recent paper by @jan_kwakkel on applying this to (one type of) engineering is here: http://orbit.dtu.dk/en/publications/id(504e2369-bbf7-4584-9e62-691bb7cf02dd).html … (A lot of his other work is also relevant.)pic.twitter.com/VWND2CJ0WC

        0 replies 2 retweets 4 likes
      4. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. Eric Falkenstein‏ @egfalken Oct 22
        Replying to @robinhanson

        Preparing for battle, plans were essential. But once the battle was joined, plans were useless. ~ Dwight Eisenhower

        1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
      3. jason‏ @yaobviously Oct 22
        Replying to @egfalken @robinhanson

        In complex strategy (video) games, the purpose of planning is (often, in the early days) to figure out what features to focus your attention on to maximize learning rate.

        1 reply 0 retweets 4 likes
      4. jason‏ @yaobviously Oct 22
        Replying to @yaobviously @egfalken @robinhanson

        Or to put it another way, to have a controlled and stable starting point for your model to begin the self-correction process

        1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
      5. Eric Falkenstein‏ @egfalken Oct 22
        Replying to @yaobviously @robinhanson

        Good point. As William James noted, consciousness is mainly about learning what to filter out. Thus, I no longer read 'market commentaries.'

        1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
      6. jason‏ @yaobviously Oct 22
        Replying to @egfalken @robinhanson

        I still occasionally consult your list of quotations. It is a good collection! Thanks

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      7. Eric Falkenstein‏ @egfalken Oct 22
        Replying to @yaobviously @robinhanson

        Another good one on focus: "A fool's voice is known by many words." Ecclesiastes 5:3.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      8. End of conversation
      1. Armen‏ @Armen Oct 22
        Replying to @robinhanson

        Yeah I have found my best times came from looking ahead, but saving all the energy for the important moments. Also too much preparation makes things uninteresting for me. I like some form of difficulty in the moment.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. Undo
        Undo

    Loading seems to be taking a while.

    Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.

      Promoted Tweet

      false

      • © 2018 Twitter
      • About
      • Help Center
      • Terms
      • Privacy policy
      • Cookies
      • Ads info