US fertility is below replacement, even in rural areas, and falling fast. Cities have lower fertility than rural, which is falling even faster. https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/products/databriefs/db323.htm …
-
-
Replying to @robinhanson
It is probably not fertility that is falling, but incentive. Birth rates are cyclic. When time & circumstances change, so will births. It has always been this way. There is no reason to worry about it. If that’s a problem for the economy, then the economy’s the problem. Fix that.
2 replies 0 retweets 1 like -
-
Replying to @robinhanson
No, it isn’t. Only the short term trend. About one generation.
1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @Maarten_BNL
No, the long term down trend is called the "demographic transition". Its been going on for centuries.
1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes -
Replying to @robinhanson
Which country are you referring to? I know of no country where the pupulation has declined by natural causes, disease or drought before WW2. The decline and aging of populations is a very recent phenomenon, correlating inversely with the economy.
2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
Loading seems to be taking a while.
Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.