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robinhanson's profile
Robin Hanson
Robin Hanson
Robin Hanson
Verified account
@robinhanson

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Robin HansonVerified account

@robinhanson

Let's skip witty repartee & position taking, & discuss enduring fundamental questions. (& my books: http://ageofem.com , http://elephantinthebrain.com )

Fairfax, VA
hanson.gmu.edu
Joined July 2007

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    Robin Hanson‏Verified account @robinhanson Oct 20

    US fertility is below replacement, even in rural areas, and falling fast. Cities have lower fertility than rural, which is falling even faster. https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/products/databriefs/db323.htm …

    6:53 AM - 20 Oct 2018
    • 10 Retweets
    • 28 Likes
    • sudonhim Ricky Mita CMB Nick Ellenoff Hannes Malmberg Rohit david obront Derek
    6 replies 10 retweets 28 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. Maarten Bestevaar‏ @Maarten_BNL Oct 20
        Replying to @robinhanson

        It is probably not fertility that is falling, but incentive. Birth rates are cyclic. When time & circumstances change, so will births. It has always been this way. There is no reason to worry about it. If that’s a problem for the economy, then the economy’s the problem. Fix that.

        2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
      3. Robin Hanson‏Verified account @robinhanson Oct 20
        Replying to @Maarten_BNL

        The long term trend is consistently down.

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      4. Maarten Bestevaar‏ @Maarten_BNL Oct 20
        Replying to @robinhanson

        No, it isn’t. Only the short term trend. About one generation.

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      5. Robin Hanson‏Verified account @robinhanson Oct 20
        Replying to @Maarten_BNL

        No, the long term down trend is called the "demographic transition". Its been going on for centuries.

        1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
      6. Maarten Bestevaar‏ @Maarten_BNL Oct 20
        Replying to @robinhanson

        Which country are you referring to? I know of no country where the pupulation has declined by natural causes, disease or drought before WW2. The decline and aging of populations is a very recent phenomenon, correlating inversely with the economy.

        2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      7. Robin Hanson‏Verified account @robinhanson Oct 20
        Replying to @Maarten_BNL

        https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demographic_transition …

        0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
      8. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. Ushan of Blook‏ @BlookUshan Oct 20
        Replying to @robinhanson

        Housing is too expensive. My wife and I were looking at a 3br condo for $760 grand yesterday (not in Manhattan or Silicon Valley). How can a couple in their 20s afford anything like it?

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. hundredth idiot  🌲 🏛‏ @HundredthIdiot Oct 20
        Replying to @BlookUshan @robinhanson

        Move to the Midwest. I live like a king for $500k

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      4. Christoph Breuer‏ @chribreuer Oct 20
        Replying to @HundredthIdiot @BlookUshan @robinhanson

        No king would live in Midwest. The French built Versailles near Paris, not near Cheyenne

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      5. hundredth idiot  🌲 🏛‏ @HundredthIdiot Oct 20
        Replying to @chribreuer @BlookUshan @robinhanson

        K chief

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      6. End of conversation
      1. Clifford Sosin‏ @CliffordSosin Oct 20
        Replying to @robinhanson

        Robin your friend @bryan_caplan would remind you that a contributing factor may be increasing education signaling keeping women in school longer.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. voltpathDOTca‏ @voltpathDOTca Oct 20
        Replying to @robinhanson

        assume that our species has a built-in population control related to our psychology and our endocrinology, which is only triggered when a certain condition persists, what sort of condition might persist to make it so, if the result leads to us breeding less, not dying more

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. Thom Ivy  🏳️‍🌈‏ @thom_ivy_1 Oct 20
        Replying to @robinhanson

        Environmental endocrine disrupters

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. Pieter Geerkens‏ @pgeerkens Oct 20
        Replying to @robinhanson

        The following at least is good news: "Cities have lower fertility than rural"

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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