.@GarettJones says US Congress should have longer terms, as they pick worse policy just before election. I agree.
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Another angle: Yes voters are bosses, but bosses shouldn't micromanage. If you bother to hire someone to do stuff, you should hope they many known things you don't, & give them some space to prove that to you. Later, if outcomes look bad, fire them.
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Yes, that is what democracy is, according to Popper:https://www.economist.com/democracy-in-america/2016/01/31/from-the-archives-the-open-society-and-its-enemies-revisited …
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They are related, I'll grant that. I think he exaggerates obstacles to retrospective voting in parliamentary systems, it isn't clear to me that there is actually more retrospective voting in two party systems.
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Retrospective voting is useless unless it removes *governments* (and policies). Not just politicians.
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In a parliamentary system, voters unhappy with a government based on a coalition can vote for parties that were not part of that coalition.
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Then they just get a different coalition that they didn't vote for.
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If Popper is right, the important think is to have a way to fire bad governments. Voting for parties not in the current coalition achieves that.
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Have you read Popper on democracy? I liked that as a succinct statement that I think agrees with this view
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No, I haven't read him on that.
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What???!!! One can *invent* futarchy and be a Hayekian prediction market philosophy-of-science fallibilist and yet also have not yet readhttps://www.economist.com/democracy-in-america/2016/01/31/from-the-archives-the-open-society-and-its-enemies-revisited …
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The politicians are the Conjectures, the elections are the Refutations
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OTOH "voters cannot manage the task of competent retrospection. They forget about most previous experience"https://twitter.com/whyvert/status/710559318127456256 …
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That has a Popperian ring to it.
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No idea how well it would work in real life, but I'd like to see predictions with auto repeal clauses attached to laws. Ideally this would make people more honest about expectations, add measurability, help clarify intent, and give political cover to roll back bad policy.
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1/Retrospective voting could also be used to set the salary for political officials, such that there's incentive to do a 'good' job (though it is dubious the public is a good judge of that or voting good way to elicit it). Perhaps more realistically, Congress could likely provide
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2/by statute that federal judge's salaries depend on some function of how often they are overruled and how productive they are.
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