.@pratik_makadiya repeats complaints that futarchy "doesn’t provide enough protection against manipulation by a single powerful entity or coalition" & "most people do not have enough sources to find correct and accurate information".https://btcmanager.com/deep-dive-into-futarchy/ …
In real financial markets today, there just are no market traders that big, at least when the whole rest of the world is allowed to trade.
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Seems like decision markets for government decisions might allow traders to have bigger effects on things, which could lead to bigger advantage from manipulating markets vs if it's just financial markets.
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I don't see why you expect traders to have bigger effects here.
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A decision market on government policy seems like it could affect "the rules of the game" (issues like government spending, central bank interest rate, ...) which seem like they would have a much larger effect than traditional manipulation.
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I may be wrong though, but I feel like an analysis of how potential benefits from decision market manipulation differ from potential benefits of traditional market manipulation is missing.
End of conversation
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