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"right of 3 children … was a privilege rewarded to Roman citizens who had produced at least 3 children or freedmen of both sexes who had produced at least 4 children. … introduced … in 18 BC & 9 AD, … intended to increase the dwindling population of the Roman upper classes"https://twitter.com/Ashley_MSGr/status/1224053980319363073 …
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Is a person "modest" if they are very aware that they fail to meet standards of perfection, yet they believe themselves to be better than most other people?
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Why does Wikipedia have an explicit list of anti-union killings, but not of pro-union killings? https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_worker_deaths_in_United_States_labor_disputes … https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Union_violence_in_the_United_States … https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Anti-union_violence …
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"If we get a reputation as the people who fall for every panic about AI, including the ones that in retrospect turn out to be kind of silly, will we eventually cry wolf one too many times and lose our credibility before crunch time?"https://slatestarcodex.com/2020/01/30/book-review-human-compatible/ …
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"In the 18th century, … critics worried that novel-readers would lose the ability to distinguish fact from fiction, & emulate the behaviour of the characters they read about. Fiction was thought to be particularly dangerous to women" Were they right? https://www.1843magazine.com/design/rewind/an-18thcentury-moral-panic-sounds-surprisingly-familiar …
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"Does anyone in the Democratic Party get it? … This is a high school nation. Even now, after all the years of pumping up college education as the only way to survive, there’s still close to 70% of U.S. adults from age 25 and older… who are without four-year college degrees."
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"The center left and progressive left … have a similar answer to inequality. Higher taxes? Yes. More welfare? Yes. And what else? More college—a lot more college. What to do about lack of mobility? More college. What about competing in the global economy? More college."https://twitter.com/henryfarrell/status/1223774517048283143 …
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"Polygraphs do detect lying at a rate better than chance, … guilty knowledge test has been found to work well in conjunction with a polygraph. … This method has an accuracy of up to 95 percent, with the innocent almost always identified as such."
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"liars tend to seem more tense and that their stories lack vividness, leaving out the unusual details that would generally be included in honest descriptions. Liars also correct themselves less; in other words, their stories are often too smooth."
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"Children … initially have difficulty formulating believable lies, but proficiency improves with age. Young adults between 18 and 29 do it best. After about the age of 45, we begin to lose this ability."https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/the-art-of-lying/ …
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Standard decision theory is VERY well understood & accepted by academics. Yet most orgs find many excuses to avoid using it for top decisions. They'd better achieve ends (including $) if they did, but execs win political battles via more flexible methods. http://www.overcomingbias.com/2020/02/decision-theory-remains-neglected.html …
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"Human H1N1 virus reappeared in 1977, in the Soviet Union and China. … cause of the reappearance was a laboratory escape of a 1949-50 virus … clear that this was true … continued to circulate until 2009"https://nationalpost.com/news/a-brief-terrifying-history-of-viruses-escaping-from-labs-70s-chinese-pandemic-was-a-lab-mistake …
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Okay, we've got the worst plague in decades, the worst locusts in decades, so what's next, the worst earthquakes, floods, & war?https://www.wsj.com/articles/africas-worst-locust-plague-in-decades-threatens-millions-11580475600 …
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"long-delayed backlash to the social-justice movement [shows] an inkling of a new respect for individual & creative freedom & for the old idea of toleration rather than conformity.… Yes, I’m hoping for a miracle. But at this point, what else have we got?"http://nymag.com/intelligencer/2020/01/andrew-sullivan-america-needs-a-miracle.html …
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"political economy considerations lead to overambitious treaties that rely too much on technology instead of sanctions to motivate compliance. Our theory can rationalize several puzzles associated with treaties." https://www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/abs/10.1086/704610 …
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"Women know when to ask: they enter negotiations resulting in positive profits & avoid negotiations resulting in negative profits. … no evidence that men [more know] when to ask. Thus, our results caution against a greater push for women to negotiate." https://www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/abs/10.1086/704616 …
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"But as the technologies for living in space continue to develop, they will in fact offer more opportunities for independent living and new forms of social experimentation" I just can't see space as the best place to do social experiments anytime soon.https://reason.com/2020/01/12/socialists-in-space-2 …
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Wow, this really is scary: https://johnhcochrane.blogspot.com/2020/01/wokeademia.html …
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"first 2 years of tenure & content knowledge correlate with teacher value added (TVA) in our sample. Wages for public sector teachers do not correlate with TVA, although they do in the private sector." https://pubs.aeaweb.org/doi/pdfplus/10.1257/pol.20170243 …
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