Thank you for this wonderful summary. I too have been following this closely and largely agree with your “conclusions”. However, “possible airport screening will contain it” isn’t logical. Infected persons are asymptomatic for 9-14 days and screening has been all symptom-based.
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Hey Spencemo, the goal is just to drive the R0 down below 1, then wait for it to peter out. Screening only catches some fraction of cases but they make a contribution to pushing down the R0 and delaying the spread (along with other measures).
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This was interesting. Thanks!
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For the “reasons to worry” section, I might add evidence of asymptomatic transmission.https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/study-reports-first-case-of-coronavirus-spread-by-asymptomatic-person/ …
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