Robert Wiblin

@robertwiblin

Researcher at . Longtermist. Make the most of your life: help others in high-impact ways! Retweets are baptisms into the Ethiopian Orthodox Church.

Vrijeme pridruživanja: lipanj 2009.

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  1. Prikvačeni tweet
    29. lis 2019.

    We've now replaced our old career guide with this summary of all our key ideas and conclusions. We cover the most useful things we've learned over the last eight years, starting with the big picture and ending with practical next steps:

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  2. prije 8 sati

    The last few days I've been reading a lot about nCoV. Here I break down what I learned (and what I learned isn't known):

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  3. proslijedio/la je Tweet

    Haven't listened yet. But I'm glad this was made and expect it to be on point.

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  4. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    prije 12 sati
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  5. prije 12 sati

    "In the 1h15m conversation we cover: • What is it? • How many people have it? • How contagious is it? • What fraction of people who contract it die? • How likely is it to spread out of control? • What’s the range of plausible global fatalities?…"

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  6. proslijedio/la je Tweet

    Digital quarantine is here. It appears that folks who fled Wuhan have been digitally quarantined, likely via WeChat. Their apps don’t work outside the quarantine zone. Now that’s happened to 240 Uber users in Mexico exposed to the infected. Complex issue! A thread…🧵

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  7. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    prije 17 sati

    Speaking with a distinctive regional accent reduces wages by an amount that is comparable to the gender wage gap. Source: The Wage Penalty of Regional Accents Context: 🇩🇪 Link:

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  8. 2. velj

    "When someone first learns about a new and potentially serious risk, the natural, healthy, and useful reaction is, in a sense, an over-reaction. … These responses are signs of what psychiatrists call an adjustment reaction. 1. It is automatic…"

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  9. 2. velj
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  10. 2. velj

    It annoys me when officials we turn to for wisdom say things that make little sense. '“No Reason for Alarm” Is a Foolishly Over-Reassuring Message about the Novel Coronavirus Spreading from Wuhan, China'

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  11. 2. velj

    “No reason for alarm,” is bad science as well as bad risk communication. … telling people they are foolish to worry about an emerging infectious disease is patronizing and contemptuous…"

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  12. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    31. sij

    Haha, so embarrassing - I've just realised that "Brexit" is a portmanteau of "Britain" and "exit". I can't be the only one who only just realised this?

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  13. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    2. velj

    For those of you still worried that this is all overblown. 1. I hope you are right. 2. China has implemented the largest quarantine in the history of the planet for some reason. Most major cities are shut. They have the data.

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  14. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    29. sij

    Julia Stiles as the school newspaper’s cyberpunk editor-in-chief on a 1994 episode of ‘Ghostwriter.’ I will never get tired of this clip.

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  15. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    9. stu 2019.

    So much of life is pure luck, being in the right place at the right time. This is not that.

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  16. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    1. velj

    me, an astrophysicist who has published 2 (nearly 3!) papers on Betelgeuse and specializes in supernovae: *tweets about Betelgeuse* men in my mentions: “well actually it may have already exploded do you know how light works here’s the Wikipedia link also calm down”

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  17. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    1. velj

    Maybe now we can culturally remove the handshake tradition and move to elbow or fist bumps or nods?

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  18. 2. velj

    Also according to the stats I'm seeing, still not a single fatality outside of China.

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  19. 2. velj

    Has there been any significant spread outside of China? To my knowledge not yet, which is remarkable. It's likely a losing game, but the longer we can drag it out the better we'll understand what we're dealing with.

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  20. 2. velj

    Total confirmed nCoV cases up 22% in the last day, same as yesterday. But 98.8% of confirmed cases are still in China! Incredible performance from all the people working to prevent this virus getting a hold outside of China.

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  21. proslijedio/la je Tweet

    2. The update notes the Emergency Committee still believes containment can work. I'm puzzled by the continued messaging of that scenario. Given that some cases are very mild, it seems super unlikely all exported cases have been detected in other countries.

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