Robbie Orvis’s Tweets

. Working to drive down greenhouse gas emissions through smart and innovative policy. Tweets are my own.

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Robbie Orvis’s Tweets

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🧵1⃣ This morning we (

) released our assessment of the Inflation Reduction Act of 2022 (IRA) on emissions, jobs, health impacts. In short: this is a BIG deal. Topline: the provisions in the bill could reduce US emissions to 37-41% below 2005 levels in 2030

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The Inflation Reduction Act Is The Most Important Climate Action In U.S. History

Silvio Marcacci

@Silvio_Marcacci

14h

The #InflationReductionAct could cut US emissions 41% in a decade, add 1.5 million new jobs in 2030, and boost GDP 1%. Put simply, it’s the most important climate legislation in US history.

forbes.com

New modeling shows the Inflation Reduction Act proposed in the U.S. Senate would be the most important climate legislation in U.S. history, slashing emissions up to 41% and creating 1.5 million new...

A new analysis by

demonstrates the clear benefits the Inflation Reduction Act would have for our planet, economy, and health. This legislation would: ✅ Slash emissions by 37-41% by 2030 ✅ Create 1.5 million jobs by 2030 ✅ Prevent thousands of premature deaths

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Energy Innovation

· Aug 1

Our modeling of the #InflationReductionAct is out & the findings are unequivocal-- this is the biggest climate investment in US history. Full results here: bit.ly/3ORxdKt, & a

w/ highlights

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NEW: An analysis by

has found the Inflation Reduction Act will create millions of jobs, reduce premature deaths from air pollution, and put the U.S. on a path to roughly 40 percent emission reductions by 2030. It will save lives, create jobs, and reduce costs.

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Energy Innovation

· Aug 1

Our modeling of the #InflationReductionAct is out & the findings are unequivocal-- this is the biggest climate investment in US history. Full results here: bit.ly/3ORxdKt, & a

w/ highlights

Show this thread

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Mark Zandi

@Markzandi

The Inflation Reduction Act seems likely to cross the legislative finish line. My analysis of its economic impact will be out tomorrow. In preview, while much smaller in scale & scope than the original Build Back Better agenda, it will have a material beneficial economic impact.

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US Rep Kathy Castor

@USRepKCastor

Very promising! In addition to cutting costs for consumers,

says the #InflationReductionAct “is the most significant federal climate and clean energy legislation in U.S. history, and its provisions could cut greenhouse gas emissions 37-41% below 2005 levels.” ⬇️

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Energy Innovation

· Aug 1

Our modeling of the #InflationReductionAct is out & the findings are unequivocal-- this is the biggest climate investment in US history. Full results here: bit.ly/3ORxdKt, & a

w/ highlights

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Hydrogen finance exclusive

Via this morning's

Generate newsletter: Potential new emissions from oil-and-gas leasing mandates in the Senate #climate & #energy deal are tiny compared to CO2 cuts the bill would spur, per new modeling by the firm Energy Innovation.

axios.com

Welcome back! Today's newsletter, edited by Mickey Meece, has a Smart Brevity count of 1,239 words, 5 minutes.

us.energypolicy.solutions

8⃣ While not perfect, the IRA would be the most significant climate and energy legislation in U.S. history by a wide margin, putting the U.S. much closer to achieving its target of 50-52% below 2005 levels in 2030. With executive and state action, that goal would be in reach.

7⃣ In the Low scenario these are more pessimistic while in the High scenario they are more optimistic. In 2030, the IRA provisions reduce emissions 870 MMT to 1,150 MMT CO2e compared to BAU, which drops US emissions to 37-41% below 2005 levels.

6⃣ We built three scenarios - Low, Moderate, and High - in addition to our BAU scenario, which reflects current policies. In 2030, our BAU scenario is 24% below 2005 levels. Our three IRA scenarios reflect varying assumptions about uptake of the provisions in the bill.

5⃣ Our full modeling is available here: energyinnovation.org/wp-content/upl To conduct this modeling we used a customized version of the U.S. Energy Policy Simulator v3.4 (the publicly available model is here: us.energypolicy.solutions)

U.S. Energy Policy Simulator

The free and open-source Energy Policy Simulator allows you to build scenarios to transform the energy system. See impacts on greenhouse gas emissions, financial costs and savings, electricity...

4⃣ Avoided premature deaths: 3,700-3,900 in 2030. As a percentage reduction in deaths, these reductions tend to be concentrated in communities of color, which have historically born the brunt of local air pollution.

3⃣ The IRA also delivers enormous jobs, economic, and, health benefits: Jobs: 1.4-1.5 million relative to BAU in 2030 GDP: Increase of 0.84-0.88% relative to BAU in 2030

2⃣ On the new oil and gas supply pieces: We conclude that these are likely to cause <50 MMT of increases, offset by 800-1,100 MMT of reductions. For every 1 ton from oil and gas supply, there's at least 24 tons of reductions from other pieces. Our assumptions are conservative.

And, I believe only a small share of those have go into production.

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Hugh Daigle

@hugh_daigle

· Jul 30

Two tidbits on BOEM offshore oil and gas lease sales: 1. In the past 10 years, there have been 22 lease sales offering an average of 45 million acres each 2. An average of 1.96% of offered acreage has actually been leased at each sale. boem.gov/oil-gas-energy

Jul 29

And, any serious analysis of other reductions made possible from the legislation.

I’ll agree and go further: asserting it’s a poison pill is untethered from any serious analysis that understands how global energy markets work or, as

@arvindpawan1

points out, how lease auctions translate to production and emissions.

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arvind p. ravikumar

@arvindpawan1

· Jul 29

Disagree that O&G leasing provisions is poison pill. - Lease sales are not production. When BOEM offered 75M acres 2021, <3% was leased. - Most O&G firms don't see oil demand growing. - IPCC says 2050 gas at ~50% of 2020 use even in 1.5C world. cnbc.com/2022/07/28/man

Climate groups react to Manchin’s surprise turnaround on reconciliation bill

If passed and signed into law, the reconciliation bill would be the largest climate investment ever taken by Congress.

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Jul 29

Precisely this.

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Maddow Blog

@MaddowBlog

· Jul 29

"We can't miss the forest for the trees here because literally the forest will burn down if we do." @leahstokes outlines why the climate benefits in the reconciliation bill are worth the compromise for public land leases for oil.

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36.8K views

Jul 29

Hey #energytwitter, any recommended heat pump installers for Northern VA/DC area?

Our team

is reviewing the text of the Inflation Reduction Act of 2022 and will have full modeling of the emissions impact next week, but our initial review, based on our earlier modeling, suggests that a 40% reduction relative to 2005 is a plausible outcome.

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Jake Sherman

@JakeSherman

Jul 27

🚨MANCHIN says he’s reached agreement with Schumer on a reconciliation deal that deals with climate, energy, tax and health care.

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Does anyone have estimates of hourly electricity load in China by end use (or know where I can find this?).

Nat Bullard

@NatBullard

Jul 14

Important data, and an important chart: Windpower construction costs +7% year on year Solar +14% Batteries +8% But with coal/gas prices ⬆️, the renewable discount to coal/gas power is widening, not shrinking. Discount to gas is the biggest ever right now bloomberg.com/news/articles/

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Chuck Kutscher

@ChuckKutscher

Contrary to the fossil fuel propaganda campaign, the latest Argonne National Laboratory study shows that battery electric vehicles have the lowest lifetime costs and greenhouse gas emissions of all vehicles. Yes, better than hybrids despite their larger batteries.

Dr. Leah Stokes

@leahstokes

Many corporations claim to care about the climate crisis. Now would be a great time for them to SPEAK UP about how Senator Manchin walking away from the climate deal is disastrous. Do you work in corporate America? Tell you leaders you want them to use their voice NOW.

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E&E News

@EENewsUpdates

Manchin says climate bill risks inflation. But does it?

When Sen. Joe Manchin walked away last week from negotiations over the energy and climate spending package, he blamed inflation. But many economists say the kinds of policies Democrats are pursuing would actually relieve pressure on consumers.

eenews.net

The West Virginia Democrat has repeatedly cited inflation as his reason for blowing up clean energy legislation. But economists say the stalled climate

Nice reporting by

for

on the disinflationary nature of the climate and energy provisions of reconciliation and that there is agreement among economists that it would help, not inflame, inflation.

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Jean Chemnick

@Chemnipot

· Jul 21

Sen. Manchin said he walked away from the climate package because of #inflation. But are wind, solar and EV credits inflationary? eenews.net/articles/manch

Martin Heinrich

@MartinHeinrich

41% of the inflation Americans are feeling is directly tied to volatile fossil fuel prices. We need to connect the dots here. Breaking free from our fossil fuel addiction is how we deliver families some much needed relief in their monthly budgets.

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Media - if you are interviewing Manchin and he claims he cares about inflation, you have an obligation to point out that study after study have shown that the reconciliation bill is DEFLATIONARY. Please.

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Silvio Marcacci

@Silvio_Marcacci

1/ Most people don't think Texas when they think about places already being hit hard by climate change. But that's wrong - Texas may be the state at the most risk of climate impacts, even as it does everything possible to add new fossil fuel capacity. 🧵

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Martin Heinrich

@MartinHeinrich

Fossil fuel energy prices are driving inflation and straining the budgets of hardworking New Mexicans. Meanwhile, clean energy prices are consistently low. Moving toward clean energy saves American families money.

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Jacob Bogage

@jacobbogage

BREAKING: USPS says it will make at least 40% of its new delivery vehicle fleet electric, including at least 50% of its trucks from

@OshkoshDefense

+ EVs purchased from commercially available models. More to come.

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A million times this.

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Dana Nuccitelli

@dana1981

· Jul 19

I'd really like to see some reporters ask Manchin to defend his (false) assertion that a package that raises more revenue than it spends and accelerates the transition away from volatile fossil fuel prices would be inflationary. Don't let him hide behind falsehoods. twitter.com/mkraju/status/…

Martin Heinrich

@MartinHeinrich

Jul 19

Reconciliation and climate leadership is the solution to inflation not the cause.

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Stopping pipelines is good, but it has next to no climate impact. The DPA can help with building stuff, but not at the scale needed. We need legislation (plus standards) that is focused on deploying as much clean energy technology as fast as we can.

Congress needs to be clear-eyed about what is at stake without significant legislation on climate. Trying to get to our goals with out legislation is nearly impossible. Declaring a climate emergency, even if the right thing to do, is not going to fundamentally solve that problem

Yeah, sure would be nice if people did even a modicum of research and outreach before pouring their wrong ideas out to thousands of people.

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David Weiskopf

@daveregrets

· Jul 18

Gosh if only anyone had ever tried that twitter.com/Noahpinion/sta…

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