Global mitigation curves for 1.5C.
"Geophysically feasible", but can we do this? Mitigation is hard, but even heroic efforts simply won't be sufficient. Removing massive amounts of CO2 from the air is really our only hope of holding temperature rises under 1.5C.
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"One point five to stay alive" said the Caribbean countries before the COP in Copenhagen, 2009. But we weren't listening.
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Many, many more useful figures just released here: folk.uio.no/roberan/GCB201
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It's important to note that this figure starts a conversation, but doesn't finish it. What level of development would China and others now be at in a world where global emissions didn't rise so sharply from 2000? How could the world really have changed course then?
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I would like to understand this better and have been searching for more info. I don’t see the 18%p.a reductions from 2019 in the graph it looks a lot less than that rate. Please, what am I missing?
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The mitigation rates reported in the figure are average rates over the entire curve through 2100, and the curves are not exactly exponential decays; they are modified to allow for some initial inertia. This means that in particular the first year shows considerably less than 18%.
Carbon removal is not our only hope - solar geoengineering could deliver 1.5C but with risks, although betting on NETs, heroic mitigation, etc. also has risks
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we're so screwed! If France isn't able to implement a simple policy as raising a carbon tax on fuels, imagine what would happen with the more extreme measures we need to cap emissions
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Let's get on with it.
"Methane abatement in the oil and gas industry is one of the cheapest options to reduce GHG emissions anywhere in the economy."
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In 2014 the price of both oil and gas dropped sharply, and Norway's oil and gas sector down-sized: 18% fewer employed in the industry by 2016.
But what happened to those 18% who left the industry? Norway's stats office has done some very interesting digging. 1/2
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Prisnedgangen på olje og gass i 2014 og årene som fulgte, førte til nedbemanning i petroleumsnæringene. Få av de som sluttet i petroleumsnæringene i løpet av 2016 vendte tilbake til næringene etter oljekrisen.
ssb.no/arbeid-og-lonn
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"Rising corporate profits account for almost half the increase in Europe’s inflation over the past two years as companies increased prices by more than spiking costs of imported energy."
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Perhaps justices of the Supreme Court in the USA should somehow be required to not live in echo chambers? It's one thing to be smart, but that's clearly not sufficient to guard yourself against stupid ideas.
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Samuel Alito: "Carbon dioxide is not a pollutant. Carbon dioxide is not harmful to ordinary things, to human beings, or to animals, or to plants. It’s actually needed for plant growth. All of us are exhaling carbon dioxide right now." 
theintercept.com/2023/06/26/sam
theintercept.com/2023/06/26/sam1
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