Are you looking for this?https://www.probabilitymanagement.org/blog/2020/1/30/a-combination-of-coronavirus-and-the-flaw-of-averages-can-drive-you-nuts …
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Basically exactly what I was imagining. Thanks.
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Applied Jensen’s inequality? I think Linda Allen has a paper describing this in easy to understand terms for epidemic models.
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Something of this nature? https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0025556499000474 … I think the molecular dynamics people have more literature on this than epi modellers, under the name of “stochastic resonance” or “stochastic focusing”, but same principles of course
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gotta love Jensen coming up again and again and again
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Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi
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