why do open borders freaks always assume immigrants are a monolith? like there's a knob labeled IMMIGRATION and the only thing you can do is turn it left or right. *some subgroups* of immigrants have *children and grandchildren* who have a higher crime rate than *white americans*https://twitter.com/AlexNowrasteh/status/1037813886466981889 …
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black crime rates are so astronomical that including them in your baseline isn't a fair comparison. even if you do, there are probably still subgroups of immigrants whose children and grandchildren have a higher crime rate than the native population!
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and *even then*, the native population includes earlier waves of descendants of immigrants, who probably have higher crime rates than the people who were here before them! but afaik nobody studies this.
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and ofc "crime rate" is only part of what we care about - if there are populations that contain much higher percentages of utterly obnoxious shits who don't necessarily do anything *criminal*, they're still making our country worse! it's just harder to measure. crime is legible
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...except it isn't! *homicide* is legible. but the underlying thing that the category of homicide measures isn't legible - developments in medicine will "lower the homicide rate" over time without changing any behavior patterns.
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if urban areas have better practice of medicine than rural areas but the underlying behavior patterns are exactly the same, urban areas will come out with a lower homicide rate! because better practice of medicine prevents the marginal attack from being fatal.
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it would take an *immense* amount of work to even come *close* to a legibilization of the underlying behavioral patterns. i don't know if anyone is doing this. but i certainly don't trust nowrasteh's crowd to.
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if it just so happens that refining the legibilizations makes things look worse... well, expect the legibilizations to not be refined.
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there are many cases of people insisting they're being "rigorous" on absolutely indefensible legibilizations! take the "effective altruism" crowd - the consensus seems to be that the highest-impact interventions are sending bed nets to africa and funding AI safety research. lmao
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any sensible person can look at that and say "wait a minute, sending bed nets to africa isn't an investment! where the hell are your returns?" - but the EA will just drop some nonsense about how you can't measure higher-order effects and should just assume they don't exist.
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