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  1. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    1. velj

    Understand, don't memorize. 🧠

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  2. 30. sij

    Experiential learning is the only learning. I have found this to be true.

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  3. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    Odgovor korisniku/ci

    Decide at 70% conviction

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  4. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    29. sij
    Odgovor korisniku/ci

    Future is neither completely deterministic nor completely random. Evaluate probabilistically, mitigate systematic risks and hedge random risks.

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  5. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    29. sij
    Odgovor korisniku/ci

    Agree. I can see this happening - Hey, marry me? What is the chance of success, size of prize and cost of failure here?

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  6. 29. sij

    To be sure about decisions is to let the world make decisions for you.

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  7. 29. sij

    All decisions that matter are trade-offs. Probabilistic logic represents it better. A better question is "what is the chance of success, size of prize and cost of failure?" (3/3)

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  8. 29. sij

    "Are you sure?" is often a rhetorical question to resist change and persist status quo. Presumes that the decision process is deterministic: not being sure you are right = you are wrong. (2/3)

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  9. 29. sij

    Being sure about a decision is an oxymoron. Would it be a decision at all if you were sure about it? (1/3)

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  10. 24. sij

    Vividly remember his class, early 2000s, got me in as guest. I was strongly influenced by 's work after selling my 1st company as a fledgling entrepreneur. His clarity, humility and commitment stood out in that one hour interaction. RIP.

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  11. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    24. sij

    Incredibly sad to see the passing of Clayton Christensen. The Innovator's Dilemma is singularly the best explanation of business, strategy, and markets out there. Plus he was an incredibly amazing human. We will miss him.

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  12. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    22. sij

    Excited to announce our Series C today! Thank you to Atlassian’s CEO and president, Qualtrics’ cofounders, Zoom's CEO and Okta's COO, for leading this round. You want better email for your teams and your customers and we won't disappoint 🙇‍♀️

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  13. 22. sij

    If Margaret Mead were alive, she would clarify “Never underestimate the power of a small group of committed people to change the world. In fact, it is the only thing that ever has.” as committed people [in the same room] of course

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  14. 22. sij

    Remote works great post product-market fit. Disaster pre-PMF. Beware of selection bias.

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  15. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    15. sij
    Odgovor korisniku/ci

    Here is a simple monte carlo sim I wrote that shows betting using only positive expected value as decision criterion can be dangerous. For a game that has 10% bet success prob and a +ive expected value, it shows 90% prob that player gets wiped-out!

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  16. 15. sij

    Always playing expected value maximizes chance of success. Always playing worst case or best case scenario will certainly lose.

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  17. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    15. sij
    Odgovor korisniku/ci

    Your tweet inspired a whole blog post. Plaid may be the largest to date but I bet it won't be the largest ever.

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  18. 14. sij

    Amazon and Flipkart were inventory-first retailers that restructured as marketplaces for FDI compliance. It's an open playbook amongst those in industry, regulation, politics and trade. It's ironic to allege a truth. This is by design.

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  19. 14. sij

    Is this the largest exit in the API economy? Big fan of Plaid. Coincidence or trend that top payments API companies have European founders? ( )

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  20. 13. sij

    Bad things happen when these trailing indicators become success metrics: Managers - team size Marketers - spend budget Product - number of features Entrepreneurs - funds raised

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