1.I don't think the social science evidence is close to proving voter ID flipped WI to Trump. 2. These laws are bad even if they didn't 3...https://twitter.com/ariberman/status/921042535795118080 …
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I disagree 1. You're setting a higher bar than the allegations. It is the sum of the changes to WI laws, not just voter id 2. Turnout went down 3 points in WI while it went up elsewhere. Something went wrong in WI and election law changes are a reasonable suspect
Reasonable suspect is very different than cost the election, which is headline and framing on Twitter
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You say "don't think...evidence is close" election could be flipped 1. If WI had same turnout rate as 2012, 150,091 more people would have voted 2. Trump margin 22,748 3. Dems would have needed ~57.6% of lost turnout to win 4. We know these laws disproportionately affect Dems
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Now, I can't say with certainty that Clinton would have won WI with same turnout as 2012 (keep in mind turnout actually went up elsewhere), but this hypothetical closer than you suggest
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Frankly, I don’t see why you should give the framers of laws designed to suppress the vote the benefit of the doubt. They should have the /1
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The burden of proving the law had no effect on voting.
End of conversation
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