The proper calculation: If Dems can gain senate seats in 2018, they should save filibuster for later. If +seats unlikely, it doesn't matter.
.@5thCircAppeals There's more to it than that. Dems might mobilize in streets if it is RBG seat to be filled with Gorsuch II/Scalia III
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but mobilization won't matter if GOP can still easily nuke filibuster for their nom; more senate seats is all that will help
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I'm operating on assumption that GOP will nuke filibuster as soon as they need too, either now or later
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That assumption is what I find most interesting, when it takes just 3 Rs to think filibuster nice to keep.
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2 reasons for assumption: (1) GOP good at whipping all in line; (2) bias for short-term gain over long-term foresight
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That's fair. Still wouldn't rule out possibility of dealing by few who don't want to give up that power.
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You're suggesting exactly the sort of political dynamic Obama ignored in not choosing someone who'd excite base.
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That is OK.If the fbuster goes(as it will if Gorsuch is blocked),then G.II will be on the court.Pick your battles
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