Rick HasenVerified account

Pretty good bet that district court will issue a preliminary injunction like the TRO, but offering substantive reasons for decision (/4)

That preliminary injunction order could be appealed to motions panel (might not be same one?---need to check w 9th Circuit gurus) (/5)

Whoever loses today faces the question of seeking to go to #SCOTUS now or to wait for preliminary inj. process to go through (/6)

Appealing to SCOTUS means fighting a technical battle on whether order is appealable before fighting merits (/7)

Still, w such a high profile national case and with tremendous disruption if we go on-again-off-again with EO, I expect SCOTUS try now (/8)

The other complication of course is that SCOTUS is divided 4-4 conservatives/liberals. Technical issue can give basis for ct. to duck (/9)

On the other hand, given disruption, national interest, and knowledge that case is coming back, maybe the Ct. would reach merits now (/10)

And it puts SCOTUS in the hot seat with a president maligning judiciary and the Court's deciding member preparing for confirmation. (/11)