1/ The hurricane, if it is as bad as predicted, will be a human tragedy. But talk will quickly turn to the following political implications
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5/ We saw makeshift efforts with Sandy to allow voting by fax etc. FL efforts will be heavily scrutinized, and claims of fraud, suppression
6/ If the storm seriously disrupts FL election processes, courts could get involved, and cases could end up at 4-4 deadlocked #SCOTUS
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7/ Meanwhile, campaigns will be disrupted by storm, freezing race as attention diverts to storm, giving short term advantage to Clinton
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8/ But if Obama administration seen as botching storm response, that could benefit Trump and Republicans.
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9/ But bottom line:a hurricane in FL whose votes could be decisive for president is one of the worst election administration nightmares /end
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Thanks Rick! If HRC wins WI, MI, PA, VA, NC, CO, NV, NH then she doesn't need FL or OH. Hope a 2000-style mess doesn't return!
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I'm really starting to get tired of Florida, politically. I do hope all are safe, though. This is scary.
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Both FL supremes and 11th Circ are majority Dem appointed, so Clinton will likely have advantage in any litigation there, no?
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hence importance of PA & VA. This race CAN be decided w/o FL, GA, & NC - potential swing states in storm's path.pic.twitter.com/DPXt1X998P
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Except lost scenarios have FL as not necessary to HRC win
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that makes me crazy.
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4-4 SCOTUS deadlock would result in a Constitutional crisis
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The effect of a deadlock would likely be to let the lower appellate court ruling stand. Crass politics -- HRC wins
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we lawyers know that but it'd create havoc-- maybe violence
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This is not funny.
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worth noting that FL is in the 11th circuit. 8 of the 11 active judges are Dem appointees. So 4-4 means Dems win.
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