I'm not saying Nate's wrong w his forecasting. He's a smart guy. But the more drama of the horserace the better--for regular journalists too
It is in Nate Silver's interest for everyone to be nervous about the election and constantly visiting his website.https://twitter.com/AdamBKushner/status/778980948960501761 …
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Are you just trying to reassure me?
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trust no one.
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he changed his models and constantly tweets "horse race" punditry -- he's lost most of his credibility as a statistical modeler
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@AdamBKushner@dandrezner in 2012 he did the opposite. He kept saying Obama would win easily.Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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After several cycles of accuracy, he decided to rig it to get pageviews now? C'mon. Polls are close and have been volatile.
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Can argue ~2-3% and narrow electoral college lead with high undecideds/3rd party as being fine, but burden is on you, not 538.
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C'mon people. Youre rationalizing. Silly conspiracy theories. Its all about averages--let math b math. Think of Silver's history.
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Maybe so, but he was pretty darned certain in 2012.
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