Kavanaugh and GOP have wildly contradictory incentives. No *way* Kavanaugh can back down, crazy for GOP to continue forward. If they withdraw him it will be over his loud protestations.
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It boxes Trump in. After this, he can’t dump Kavanaugh without appearing weak, at least in his own mind.
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Unless the conventional wisdom is making him more defiant.
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I think the GOP arrogantly expected to just push through and get what they wanted (as men will often do). It is a good metaphor for sexual assault.
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right, there's zero indication at this point of any Kav withdrawal afoot, or that GOP Sens have backed off him in any way
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Drumpf never backs down, unless he is going to get hit, then he runs like any rat.
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The idea that the Ds are organized on this is nuts
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Maybe BK wanted to head off any request that he withdraw by going public with that letter. Wonder if the WH knew it was coming.
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Trump is a notorious coward when it comes to firing people. He hopes they will quit. Kavanaugh is banking on Trump not being willing to pull the nom, and that as long as he’s still Trump’s nom, Senate R’s will be too scared to cross the president.
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Ed Rollins is not someone whose words can be taken at face value - ever.
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Didn't Robert Bork insist on an up or down vote after WH & Senate Leaders tell him he was doomed?
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Kavanaugh is now fighting for his entire life. Of course he's going to be defiant. He walks away from this he loses everything. Nothing to lose now by remaining defiant.
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He's doubling down. Not odd at all, a dangerous game of brinkmanship.
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What’s left of his career if he loses this? Senate GOP could care less after cutting him loose. He’s got a different view.
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Likely Kavanaugh letter came out of Don McGahn in WH but Rollins was prompted by a conversation with McConnell. Trial balloon. My money is on McConnell’s political savvy over McGahn’s partisan ineptitude.
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I would not mistake anything Rollins says as CW. He's as likely lying as telling the truth, & is decades removed from making any accurate analysis.
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Always possible that they are trying to float a trial balloon for withdrawal while he refuses to back down.
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WH is directing this but is not communicating clearly with Senate, seems like.
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Well, either way the defiant letter works for him. If his nomination is pulled, then he gets to spend the next 30 years giving speeches for the Heritage Foundation about how he was borked.
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