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rickhasen's profile
Rick Hasen
Rick Hasen
Rick Hasen
Verified account
@rickhasen

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Rick HasenVerified account

@rickhasen

Professor of Law and Political Science at UC Irvine; Election Law Blogger. Author #JusticeofContradictions coming March 2018 http://amzn.to/2CoWbzx 

Studio City, California
electionlawblog.org
Joined June 2009

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    Rick Hasen‏Verified account @rickhasen Sep 23

    Just told ABC Australia that I think the odds of the Kavanaugh confimation being successful have fallen below 50 percent for the first time, and that we should have a good sense within the next 24 hours.

    9:10 PM - 23 Sep 2018
    • 59 Retweets
    • 265 Likes
    • Debbie GT Alicia Magee maltese mama Bad-Past-Haver George Washington Aaron Boettcher ryanowens Jay SteverinoATL Emma Mussell
    16 replies 59 retweets 265 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. Questions Raised‏ @RaisesQuestions Sep 23
        Replying to @rickhasen

        what about the odds of him remaining on DC circuit court?

        1 reply 0 retweets 6 likes
      3. justice+peace+freedm‏ @jp25f Sep 23
        Replying to @RaisesQuestions @rickhasen

        Or even a job at the judicial crisis network?

        1 reply 0 retweets 4 likes
      4.  🎃Kit‏ @katrinki05 Sep 23
        Replying to @jp25f @RaisesQuestions @rickhasen

        Or even coach of a girls’ basketball team?

        1 reply 0 retweets 8 likes
      5. justice+peace+freedm‏ @jp25f Sep 23
        Replying to @katrinki05 @RaisesQuestions @rickhasen

        Coaching a girls basketball team is out forever. Which parent would trust him?

        1 reply 0 retweets 4 likes
      6. Snollygoster-Buster‏ @QuockerWodging Sep 23
        Replying to @jp25f @katrinki05 and

        If he continues to have a powerful judgeship, there are sadly plenty of people in DC who'd take the risk to get the networking connection.

        0 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
      7. End of conversation
      1. Fred Smith  💤 😄 🎼 🎶 🍳 🥐 👍‏ @BavasiBuzz Sep 23
        Replying to @rickhasen

        Never underestimate the brazen disregard for the Constitution with these Republicans. They oughtta come up with another word to call these Republicans instead ‘conservatives’. They are more like mutineers.

        0 replies 1 retweet 9 likes
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      1. Alison‏ @alisongrippo Sep 23
        Replying to @rickhasen @nycsouthpaw

        I know i am hoping the whole sex offender register gets a chance at a job with this White House.

        0 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
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      1. justice+peace+freedm‏ @jp25f Sep 23
        Replying to @rickhasen

        You are overestimating his chances

        0 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
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      1. Elizabeth lying to the Senate is a crime Fones‏ @lizfones Sep 23
        Replying to @rickhasen

        We have no evidence that the Republican party has any morals or shame. We have plenty of evidence they seek out compromised, controllable judges.

        0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
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      1. Marilyn Marks‏ @MarilynRMarks1 Sep 23
        Replying to @rickhasen

        I think that you are being conservative. Seems below 50% to me after tonight's new clouds. Hard to see how those clouds part.

        0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
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      1. Dan Lenski‏ @moxfyre Sep 23
        Replying to @rickhasen @nycsouthpaw

        Can I take the under on 25%?

        0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
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      1. Tilman Heyer‏ @tilmanheyer Sep 23
        Replying to @rickhasen

        What are the chances that McConnell pushes someone through during the lame duck period?

        0 replies 1 retweet 0 likes
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      1. Carson Jones‏ @DemsInDisarray Sep 23
        Replying to @rickhasen

        For some reason it amuses me that Australians care about U.S. Supreme Court nominations

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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      1. tk‏ @tklowenstein Sep 23
        Replying to @rickhasen

        Oh man I’m always wrong but I think he’s toast. But I’ve thought that for a while. At this point he needs the @MichaelAvenatti thing to be a huge dud. Is mike the next @EdWhelan123 ? Stay tuned I guess.

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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      1. Uhhh A Smoking Skeleton‏ @EastNash10 Sep 23
        Replying to @rickhasen

        I'd take the under at 5%. At the end of the day, there are so many hard right judges they could get through with no problems. I just don't know why they'd ever get to the point of Ford actually laying out the terrible details.

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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      1. Mister D‏ @CallMeMisterD Sep 23
        Replying to @rickhasen @nycsouthpaw

        Well, if Aventatti gains any traction ...

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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      1. Lupus–Cain‏ @Lupus_Cain Sep 23
        Replying to @rickhasen

        Thank you for your work, Doctor. And G-d bless.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. Nathan Boyle‏ @soulman2020 Sep 23
        Replying to @rickhasen @nycsouthpaw

        It was below 50% before today’s developments.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. Enrico Dandolo‏ @EnricoDandolo2 Sep 23
        Replying to @rickhasen @nycsouthpaw

        Well why would you tell the Australians and not us? They've aleady got a 14 hour head start on tomorrow!

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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