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rickhasen's profile
Rick Hasen
Rick Hasen
Rick Hasen
Verified account
@rickhasen

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Rick HasenVerified account

@rickhasen

Professor of Law and Political Science at UC Irvine; Election Law Blogger. Author #JusticeofContradictions coming March 2018 http://amzn.to/2CoWbzx 

Studio City, California
electionlawblog.org
Joined June 2009

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    1. Rick Hasen‏Verified account @rickhasen Aug 16

      Rick Hasen Retweeted Michael McGough

      Average person on street cannot describe originalism but has a good idea how a judge like Kavanaugh (or Gorsuch or Sotomayor) is likely to vote based on appointing President's ideology. Not surprised people have strong opinions when Justices are predictable in votes that matter.https://twitter.com/MichaelMcGough3/status/1030239174639734785 …

      Rick Hasen added,

      Michael McGough @MichaelMcGough3
      Whatever you think of Kavanaugh or any of the other nominees on this list, is there really an argument that these numbers reflect any real familiarity with their views or qualifications? https://twitter.com/mkraju/status/1030138580654608385 …
      4 replies 14 retweets 41 likes
    2. Lawrence Solum‏ @lsolum Aug 16
      Replying to @rickhasen

      I would be interested in the data. Given the general data on voter ignorance, it seems unlikely the median voter (on an axis of relevant knowledge) could make such predictions, but I am prepared to be surprised.

      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
    3. Lawrence Solum‏ @lsolum Aug 16
      Replying to @lsolum @rickhasen

      I wonder whether @IlyaSomin knows if there is any relevant empirical work.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    4. Ilya Somin‏ @IlyaSomin Aug 16
      Replying to @lsolum @rickhasen

      Data show most voters can't even name most justices, much less predict their votes. Those who do know & care tend to be base voters, not median/swing voters.

      1 reply 1 retweet 1 like
    5. Rick Hasen‏Verified account @rickhasen Aug 16
      Replying to @IlyaSomin @lsolum

      I would bet they know that Trump wants to appoint Justices who would overturn Roe v. Wade and Obama would be much less likely to do so. For many voters that may be all the information they need.

      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
    6. Ilya Somin‏ @IlyaSomin Aug 16
      Replying to @rickhasen @lsolum

      For some. But those who care that intensely about Roe also tend to be base voters. Plus many are ignorant of less prominent ways SCOTUS decisions have big effects.

      1 reply 1 retweet 1 like
      Rick Hasen‏Verified account @rickhasen Aug 16
      Replying to @IlyaSomin @lsolum

      that doesn't negate the fact that, in my initial response to @MichaelMcGough3, that voters have more than adequate cues to figure out if a Supreme Court Justice is likely to vote in ways they prefer or not.

      6:58 PM - 16 Aug 2018
      • 2 Likes
      • Max Kennerly H Bear
      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Ilya Somin‏ @IlyaSomin Aug 16
          Replying to @rickhasen @lsolum @MichaelMcGough3

          There, I think much depends on what you consider "adequate" and what it means for them to "prefer." Also on how attentive the voters are to various cues (many are not).

          1 reply 1 retweet 1 like
        3. Max Kennerly‏Verified account @MaxKennerly Aug 16
          Replying to @IlyaSomin @rickhasen and

          For more than a generation, knowing nothing more than "the party of the President" and "the party controlling the Senate" has provided more than adequate information about how a Justice will decide cases.

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        4. Ilya Somin‏ @IlyaSomin Aug 16
          Replying to @MaxKennerly @rickhasen and

          If you know where the parties stand on the relevant issues - which many voters don't. Also, surveys show many don't know which party controls the Senate. I discuss some data on both these points in my book on political ignorance:https://www.amazon.com/Democracy-Political-Ignorance-Smaller-Government/dp/0804799318/ …

          0 replies 1 retweet 2 likes
        5. End of conversation

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