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rickhasen's profile
Rick Hasen
Rick Hasen
Rick Hasen
Verified account
@rickhasen

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Rick HasenVerified account

@rickhasen

Professor of Law and Political Science at UC Irvine; Election Law Blogger. Author #JusticeofContradictions coming March 2018 http://amzn.to/2CoWbzx 

Studio City, California
electionlawblog.org
Joined June 2009

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    Rick Hasen‏Verified account @rickhasen Aug 16

    Rick Hasen Retweeted Michael McGough

    Average person on street cannot describe originalism but has a good idea how a judge like Kavanaugh (or Gorsuch or Sotomayor) is likely to vote based on appointing President's ideology. Not surprised people have strong opinions when Justices are predictable in votes that matter.https://twitter.com/MichaelMcGough3/status/1030239174639734785 …

    Rick Hasen added,

    Michael McGough @MichaelMcGough3
    Whatever you think of Kavanaugh or any of the other nominees on this list, is there really an argument that these numbers reflect any real familiarity with their views or qualifications? https://twitter.com/mkraju/status/1030138580654608385 …
    4:47 PM - 16 Aug 2018
    • 14 Retweets
    • 41 Likes
    • Patrick Stickney Donna L Dale Vote November 6th! Robert Morse Comrade Saint Jayrone Laurent🌹 Valerie Kaye Curl disinventing monolingualism Roberto A. Jiménez Rivera Rick Hasen
    4 replies 14 retweets 41 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. Eric Segall‏ @espinsegall Aug 16
        Replying to @rickhasen

        With the exceptions of Powell, O’Connor and Kennedy every SCT Justice of the last 50 years was wildly predictable on the important cases. And the Justices know this and make sure their docket has mostly non-ideological cases so folks won’t catch on.

        3 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
      3. Carissa Byrne Hessick‏ @CBHessick Aug 16
        Replying to @espinsegall @rickhasen

        I just want to push back on which cases are "important," and draw attention to Scalia's votes in several criminal procedure cases.

        2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      4. Rick Hasen‏Verified account @rickhasen Aug 16
        Replying to @CBHessick @espinsegall

        I’ve got a whole chapter in my book on Scalia’s criminal procedure cases. It is a mixed bag, and his confrontation clause cases, important doctrinally, help few criminal defendants

        1 reply 1 retweet 3 likes
      5. Carissa Byrne Hessick‏ @CBHessick Aug 16
        Replying to @rickhasen @espinsegall

        The impact of the confrontation cases is doubtlessly lessened by the vanishing criminal trial. But I would not want to understate the impact of the Sixth Amendment sentencing cases. My apologies if you discuss this in your book-I haven't had a chance to read it yet-but will soon.

        3 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
      6. Rick Hasen‏Verified account @rickhasen Aug 16
        Replying to @CBHessick @espinsegall

        Will be interested to hear your thoughts!

        0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
      7. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. Lawrence Solum‏ @lsolum Aug 16
        Replying to @rickhasen

        I would be interested in the data. Given the general data on voter ignorance, it seems unlikely the median voter (on an axis of relevant knowledge) could make such predictions, but I am prepared to be surprised.

        1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
      3. Lawrence Solum‏ @lsolum Aug 16
        Replying to @lsolum @rickhasen

        I wonder whether @IlyaSomin knows if there is any relevant empirical work.

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      4. Ilya Somin‏ @IlyaSomin Aug 16
        Replying to @lsolum @rickhasen

        Data show most voters can't even name most justices, much less predict their votes. Those who do know & care tend to be base voters, not median/swing voters.

        1 reply 1 retweet 1 like
      5. Rick Hasen‏Verified account @rickhasen Aug 16
        Replying to @IlyaSomin @lsolum

        I would bet they know that Trump wants to appoint Justices who would overturn Roe v. Wade and Obama would be much less likely to do so. For many voters that may be all the information they need.

        1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
      6. Ilya Somin‏ @IlyaSomin Aug 16
        Replying to @rickhasen @lsolum

        For some. But those who care that intensely about Roe also tend to be base voters. Plus many are ignorant of less prominent ways SCOTUS decisions have big effects.

        1 reply 1 retweet 1 like
      7. Rick Hasen‏Verified account @rickhasen Aug 16
        Replying to @IlyaSomin @lsolum

        that doesn't negate the fact that, in my initial response to @MichaelMcGough3, that voters have more than adequate cues to figure out if a Supreme Court Justice is likely to vote in ways they prefer or not.

        1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
      8. Ilya Somin‏ @IlyaSomin Aug 16
        Replying to @rickhasen @lsolum @MichaelMcGough3

        There, I think much depends on what you consider "adequate" and what it means for them to "prefer." Also on how attentive the voters are to various cues (many are not).

        1 reply 1 retweet 1 like
      9. Max Kennerly‏Verified account @MaxKennerly Aug 16
        Replying to @IlyaSomin @rickhasen and

        For more than a generation, knowing nothing more than "the party of the President" and "the party controlling the Senate" has provided more than adequate information about how a Justice will decide cases.

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      10. 1 more reply
      1. New conversation
      2. Prof. Garrett Epps‏ @Profepps Aug 16
        Replying to @rickhasen

        Trump made explicit promise about at least one vote.

        1 reply 0 retweets 5 likes
      3. Eric Segall‏ @espinsegall Aug 16
        Replying to @Profepps @rickhasen

        I talk to non-lawyers all the time, will do so for 3 hours tomorrow with @PeteDominick. Rick is right. On the big issues they know where the GOP justices stand, where the Dems stand, and how they’ll vote. The rest is just dribble to them (as it should be).

        1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
      4. 1 more reply
      1. Erudite Donald‏ @Hi_IQ_Trump Aug 17
        Replying to @rickhasen

        Yeah, I don't know how that could happen with so many leftists lying about what originalism is.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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